StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404262 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
88 301.19 ₸
at 88 301.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸+4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 17 746.97 ₸
Set · 5 pcs156 833.67 ₸
−75 076.42
(−47.9%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
176 602.39 ₸
at 88 301.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸+4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 17 746.97 ₸
Set · 5 pcs228 001.75 ₸
−104 282.03
(−45.7%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
264 903.58 ₸
at 88 301.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸+4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 17 746.97 ₸
Set · 5 pcs299 169.82 ₸
−133 487.69
(−44.6%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
353 204.78 ₸
at 88 301.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸+4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
FT costs more than MW: 76 594.94 ₸ versus 65 498.76 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 76 594.94 ₸sell now to a buy order: 75 619.41 ₸
(you get 65 756.00 ₸)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 51 167.71 ₸ versus 43 532.33 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 51 167.71 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 79 136.67 ₸ versus 76 707.92 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 79 136.67 ₸sell now to a buy order: 79 111.25 ₸
(you get 68 792.36 ₸)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than MW: 37 961.05 ₸ versus 31 492.29 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 37 961.05 ₸sell now to a buy order: 37 949.07 ₸
(you get 32 999.17 ₸)) · buy orders: 105
BS costs more than WW: 31 147.32 ₸ versus 30 998.46 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 147.32 ₸sell now to a buy order: 30 737.34 ₸
(you get 26 728.10 ₸)) · buy orders: 75
BS costs more than MW: 45 247.35 ₸ versus 35 686.45 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 45 247.35 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 34 017.66 ₸ versus 23 346.94 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 34 017.66 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 43 434.81 ₸ versus 38 808.40 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 434.81 ₸sell now to a buy order: 42 865.05 ₸
(you get 37 273.91 ₸)) · buy orders: 105
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 81 548.60 ₸The CS20 Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 93 780.87 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 316 259.25 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 322 713.54 ₸listings 10 · you get 316 259.25 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 315 314.88 ₸
(you get 274 186.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than FT: 305 707.13 ₸ versus 293 650.79 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 305 707.13 ₸sell now to a buy order: 305 295.46 ₸
(you get 265 474.30 ₸)) · buy orders: 244
BS costs more than FT: 408 887.66 ₸ versus 367 500.24 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 408 887.66 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 278 407.19 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 284 088.99 ₸listings 5 · you get 278 407.19 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 287 276.01 ₸ versus 284 088.99 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 299 421.66 ₸
(you get 260 366.65 ₸)) · buy orders: 176
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 186 656.17 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 190 465.53 ₸listings 3 · you get 186 656.17 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 195 604.00 ₸
(you get 170 090.39 ₸)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 271 838.39 ₸ versus 235 457.72 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 271 838.39 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 460 702.29 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 470 104.42 ₸listings 16 · you get 460 702.29 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 633 158.72 ₸
(you get 550 572.78 ₸)) · buy orders: 648
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.3988 301.19 → 122 526.74 ₸
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.2868 532.48 → 87 817.52 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.999999900
outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−87 432.86 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−77 200.92 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404565
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −74 253.09₸
· invest 134 442.30₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404573
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −74 253.09₸
· invest 134 442.30₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404257
· The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −75 076.44₸
· invest 156 833.67₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404566
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −76 474.94₸
· invest 134 442.30₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479166 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404574
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −76 474.94₸
· invest 134 442.30₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479166 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404761
· The Shadow Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −80 256.20₸
· invest 117 532.73₸
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404766
· The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −80 256.20₸
· invest 117 532.73₸
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.