StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404277 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
502.83 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $sells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 138.16 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 140.98 $listings 3 · you get 138.16 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 120.00 $
(you get 104.35 $)) · buy orders: 86
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 133.95 $sells 8 a weeknow 154.04 $ — cheaper than the month average 176.18 $sell now to a buy order: 162.23 $
(you get 141.07 $)) · buy orders: 684
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 185.29 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the current 213.09 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 1 080.92 $
(you get 939.93 $)) · buy orders: 1488
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 1 905.19 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 944.07 $listings 44 · you get 1 905.19 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 882
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 698.60 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 712.86 $listings 10 · you get 698.60 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 696.52 $
(you get 605.67 $)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than FT: 675.29 $ versus 648.66 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 675.29 $sell now to a buy order: 674.38 $
(you get 586.42 $)) · buy orders: 244
BS costs more than FT: 903.21 $ versus 811.79 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 903.21 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 614.99 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 627.54 $listings 5 · you get 614.99 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 634.58 $ versus 627.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 661.41 $
(you get 575.14 $)) · buy orders: 176
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 432.08 $
(you get 375.72 $)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 600.48 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 600.48 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 1 017.67 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 038.44 $listings 16 · you get 1 017.67 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 398.62 $
(you get 1 216.19 $)) · buy orders: 648
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.25502.83 → 627.43 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.39195.05 → 270.66 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−359.30 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−324.70 $historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3405371
· The Gamma Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −299.18$
· invest 612.14$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370639 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3405380
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −299.18$
· invest 612.14$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370639 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3405367
· The Gamma Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −300.31$
· invest 612.14$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404283
· The Breakout Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −316.23$
· invest 697.88$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.