StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404283 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
any lot
15 700.99 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 14 019.96 ₽ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
40 475.60 ₽
at 10 118.90
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 11 109.58 ₽+990.68 ₽ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 7 919.18 ₽ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs56 176.59 ₽
−25 455.35
(−45.3%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
any lot
31 401.98 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 14 019.96 ₽ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
30 356.70 ₽
at 10 118.90
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 11 109.58 ₽+990.68 ₽ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 7 919.18 ₽ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
now 41 638.52 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 46 648.34 ₽sell now to a buy order: 36 131.51 ₽
(you get 31 418.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 879
sell on Market.CSGO: 35 566.17 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 38 998.00 · lots 36price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 30 712.38 ₽listings: 70
on CS.Money: ~ 32 453.51 ₽
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 40 020.30 ₽sell now to a buy order: 40 009.15 ₽
(you get 34 790.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 521
sell on Market.CSGO: 31 286.16 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 34 305.01 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 28 978.50 ₽listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 30 672.13 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 29 880.86 ₽listings: 51
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 26 261.43 ₽sell now to a buy order: 25 837.70 ₽
(you get 22 467.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 423
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 800.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 25 000.00 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 21 729.05 ₽listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 24 069.06 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 23 563.55 ₽listings: 16
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 692.52 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 510.00 ₽
(you get 11 747.82 ₽)) · buy orders: 96not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 12 071.54 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 13 882.27 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 12 070.87 ₽
(you get 10 496.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 171
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 467.72 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 477.77 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 10 049.90 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 10 232.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 745.63 ₽listings: 51
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 11 158.82 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 12 832.64 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 405.48 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 699.00 · lots 8CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 11 455.36 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 502.37 ₽listings: 4
now 33 794.44 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 36 579.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 827.71 ₽
(you get 25 067.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 568
sell on Market.CSGO: 24 350.40 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 26 700.00 · lots 32price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 23 182.80 ₽listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 24 250.98 ₽
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 29 590.90 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 163.88 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 24 302.50 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 21 330.59 ₽listings: 28
on CS.Money: ~ 23 164.29 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 22 130.72 ₽listings: 44
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 18 888.51 ₽sell now to a buy order: 18 769.10 ₽
(you get 16 320.95 ₽)) · buy orders: 231
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 422.40 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 20 200.00 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 16 875.15 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 17 726.79 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 16 813.97 ₽listings: 28
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 11 121.33 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 11 348.30 ₽listings 3 · you get 11 121.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 9 659.40 ₽
(you get 8 399.47 ₽)) · buy orders: 86
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 393.67 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 589.56 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 11 348.30 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 10 457.21 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 153.42 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 150.80 ₽
(you get 9 696.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 175
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 042.18 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 914.68 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 8 693.55 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 8 724.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 732.99 ₽listings: 26
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 8 329.32 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 8 767.71 ₽listings 3 · you get 8 329.32 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 14 975.87 ₽ versus 8 767.71 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 11 613.99 ₽
(you get 10 099.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 657.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 975.87 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 9 951.70 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 10 782.17 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 12 399.49 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 14 181.79 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 058.53 ₽
(you get 11 355.24 ₽)) · buy orders: 684
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 456.17 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 12 561.60 · lots 34price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 10 464.46 ₽listings: 49
on CS.Money: ~ 11 251.71 ₽
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 521.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 303.09 ₽
(you get 9 828.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 204
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 841.84 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 887.99 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 10 125.57 ₽listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 10 690.65 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 10 126.38 ₽listings: 67
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 929.07 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 799.08 ₽
(you get 8 520.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 221
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 663.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 499.99 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 8 854.54 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 8 848.91 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 485.07 ₽listings: 45
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)The Chroma 3 Collectionno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 4 958.39 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 5 179.18 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 070.62 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 559.90 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 4 829.75 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 4 145.54 ₽listings: 32
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 683.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 621.99 ₽
(you get 4 019.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 186
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 927.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 499.99 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 6 202.20 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 108 421.74 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 93 023.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 101 999.00 · lots 23price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 87 438.60 ₽listings: 140
on CS.Money: ~ 104 228.42 ₽
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 90 893.63 ₽sell now to a buy order: 89 703.83 ₽
(you get 78 003.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 1095
sell on Market.CSGO: 91 200.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 100 000.00 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 85 431.03 ₽listings: 34
on CS.Money: ~ 92 192.68 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 90 643.14 ₽listings: 37
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 353.76 ₽sell now to a buy order: 83 023.62 ₽
(you get 72 194.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 74 202.95 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 81 362.89 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 67 616.50 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 75 246.70 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 75 220.14 ₽listings: 37
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)The Chroma 3 Collectionno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 42 491.83 ₽sell now to a buy order: 34 526.56 ₽
(you get 30 023.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 254
sell on Market.CSGO: 37 857.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 41 510.08 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 32 476.04 ₽listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 37 994.84 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 36 330.99 ₽listings: 33
BS costs more than WW: 44 808.16 ₽ versus 29 448.47 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 44 808.16 ₽sell now to a buy order: 44 217.50 ₽
(you get 38 450.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 212Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 35 192.78 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 35 277.30 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 36 227.96 ₽listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 14 915.28 ₽The Chroma 3 Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the current 17 152.57 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 87 009.39 ₽
(you get 75 660.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 1488Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shownCS.Money: price does not match Steam and is not shown
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 58 896.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 59 081.03 ₽
(you get 51 374.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 589
sell on Market.CSGO: 56 544.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 62 000.00 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 53 610.23 ₽listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 59 368.09 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 55 038.22 ₽listings: 39
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 716.23 ₽sell now to a buy order: 53 995.86 ₽
(you get 46 952.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 608
sell on Market.CSGO: 49 977.60 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 54 800.00 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 45 992.10 ₽listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 51 826.44 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 47 529.57 ₽listings: 34
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)The Chroma 3 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 33 432.57 ₽
(you get 29 071.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 65not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 26 737.72 ₽ versus 21 777.29 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 26 737.72 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 25 989.95 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 28 497.76 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 22 538.83 ₽listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 25 334.45 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 24 602.75 ₽listings: 38
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 534.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 222.14 ₽
(you get 24 540.99 ₽)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 24 989.70 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 27 400.99 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 24 551.23 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 24 878.85 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 25 783.62 ₽listings: 13
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 153 359.74 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 156 489.54 ₽listings 44 · you get 153 359.74 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 882
sell on Market.CSGO: 171 043.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 187 548.24 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 156 489.54 ₽listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 169 525.84 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 167 537.59 ₽listings: 33
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 113 633.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 112 136.09 ₽
(you get 97 509.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 323
sell on Market.CSGO: 118 560.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 130 000.00 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 114 625.26 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 94 379.76 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 109 039.66 ₽listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 56 234.61 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 382.26 ₽listings 10 · you get 56 234.61 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 066.69 ₽
(you get 48 753.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 183Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 57 382.26 ₽listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 59 686.86 ₽listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 54 358.32 ₽ versus 52 214.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 358.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 54 285.12 ₽
(you get 47 204.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 244
sell on Market.CSGO: 43 037.28 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 47 190.00 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 39 442.96 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 46 680.34 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 42 170.16 ₽listings: 14
BS costs more than FT: 72 705.03 ₽ versus 65 345.86 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 72 705.03 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 59 786.16 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 65 555.00 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 61 418.32 ₽listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 66 945.97 ₽listings: 7
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 710.68 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 279.10 ₽
(you get 28 068.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 351Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 37 369.39 ₽listings: 8
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 311.69 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 128.61 ₽
(you get 27 937.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 626.41 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 34 428.07 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 49 504.07 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 514.36 ₽listings 5 · you get 49 504.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 51 081.05 ₽ versus 50 514.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 53 240.69 ₽
(you get 46 296.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 176
sell on Market.CSGO: 66 192.85 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 72 579.89 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 51 081.05 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 49 135.46 ₽listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 33 344.99 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 346.74 ₽sell now to a buy order: 37 851.80 ₽
(you get 32 914.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 40 793.32 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 44 729.52 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 37 833.04 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 38 927.79 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 41 014.24 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 33 189.66 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 867.01 ₽listings 3 · you get 33 189.66 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 780.69 ₽
(you get 30 244.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 160
sell on Market.CSGO: 46 164.71 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 50 619.21 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 33 867.01 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 36 776.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 37 225.30 ₽listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 48 336.06 ₽ versus 41 867.15 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48 336.06 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 32 842.30 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 34 717.85 ₽listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 123.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 769.33 ₽
(you get 28 495.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 225
sell on Market.CSGO: 38 296.76 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 41 992.07 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 582.14 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 35 799.72 ₽listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 81 918.28 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 83 590.09 ₽listings 16 · you get 81 918.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 112 583.06 ₽
(you get 97 898.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 648
sell on Market.CSGO: 86 639.20 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 94 999.13 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 83 590.09 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 98 352.23 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 84 672.76 ₽listings: 32
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.3915 700.99 → 21 786.69 ₽
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.2540 475.60 → 50 505.45 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−28 922.45 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−26 137.39 ₽historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3405371
· The Gamma Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −24 082.65₽
· invest 49 274.60₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370639 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3405380
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −24 082.65₽
· invest 49 274.60₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370639 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3405367
· The Gamma Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −24 173.87₽
· invest 49 274.60₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404277
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −25 455.35₽
· invest 56 176.59₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.