The Breakout Collection
+ The Danger Zone Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404304 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
95 317.10 ₸
at 95 317.10
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 106 464.39 ₸+11 147.29 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0700–0.1427
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077567f′ (normalized) 0.155135wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
33 002.66 ₸
at 33 002.66
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 33 999.72 ₸+997.07 ₸ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.1508
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077567f′ (normalized) 0.155135wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0066
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
121 235.86 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 354 473.09 ₸+314 061.13 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.0500–0.0586
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006621f′ (normalized) 0.013243wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs249 555.61 ₸
−109 532.08
(−43.9%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
190 634.20 ₸
at 95 317.10
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 106 464.39 ₸+11 147.29 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0700–0.1427
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077567f′ (normalized) 0.155135wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0066
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
121 235.86 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 354 473.09 ₸+314 061.13 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.0500–0.0586
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006621f′ (normalized) 0.013243wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs311 870.05 ₸
−122 301.31
(−39.2%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
95 317.10 ₸
at 95 317.10
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 106 464.39 ₸+11 147.29 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0700–0.1426
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077535f′ (normalized) 0.155070wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
212 928.79 ₸
at 106 464.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 137 945.61 ₸+31 481.22 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0000–0.0421
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077535f′ (normalized) 0.084277wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
80 823.91 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 354 473.09 ₸+314 061.13 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.0500–0.0585
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006593f′ (normalized) 0.013186wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs389 069.79 ₸
−149 955.89
(−38.5%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 14.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0774
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
425 857.57 ₸
at 106 464.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 137 945.61 ₸+31 481.22 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0000–0.0421
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077486f′ (normalized) 0.084224wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
40 411.95 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 354 473.09 ₸+314 061.13 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.0500–0.0585
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006550f′ (normalized) 0.013101wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 1
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 862 483.72 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 880 085.48 ₸listings 44 · you get 862 483.72 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 882
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 629 976.42 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 642 833.11 ₸listings 17 · you get 629 976.42 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 885 498.79 ₸
(you get 769 998.95 ₸)) · buy orders: 658
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 460 702.29 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 470 104.42 ₸listings 16 · you get 460 702.29 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 633 158.72 ₸
(you get 550 572.78 ₸)) · buy orders: 648
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 55 681.98 ₸
(you get 48 419.07 ₸)) · buy orders: 73
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 25 423.69 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 4 a weekrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 29 237.21 ₸sell now to a buy order: 29 232.15 ₸
(you get 25 419.24 ₸)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 119 449.59 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 125 736.46 ₸listings 4 · you get 119 449.59 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93 083.72 ₸
(you get 80 942.34 ₸)) · buy orders: 113
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 71 268.74 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 81 959.04 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 84 189.37 ₸
(you get 73 208.10 ₸)) · buy orders: 154
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 70 156.11 ₸
(you get 61 005.30 ₸)) · buy orders: 24
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 78 416.98 ₸
(you get 68 188.63 ₸)) · buy orders: 73
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 29 951.17 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 34 443.84 ₸sell now to a buy order: 33 991.00 ₸
(you get 29 557.38 ₸)) · buy orders: 86
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 362 229.77 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 416 564.26 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 378 578.58 ₸
(you get 329 198.72 ₸)) · buy orders: 740
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Factory New)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 92 830.31 ₸
(you get 80 722.00 ₸)) · buy orders: 69
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 465 830.91 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 475 337.71 ₸listings 3 · you get 465 830.91 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 96 970.42 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 111 515.97 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 110 892.62 ₸
(you get 96 428.33 ₸)) · buy orders: 112
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 33 793.66 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 38 862.73 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 46 321.40 ₸sell now to a buy order: 38 471.08 ₸
(you get 33 453.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 230
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knifenet 125 980.37 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 144 877.43 ₸sell now to a buy order: 142 648.62 ₸
(you get 124 042.25 ₸)) · buy orders: 328
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1695 317.10 → 205 884.93 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1633 002.66 → 71 285.74 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 39% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.26121 235.86 → 273 993.04 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−121 913.09 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−111 175.61 ₸historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404301
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −109 532.05₸
· invest 249 555.61₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404893
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −118 046.34₸
· invest 225 220.55₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075925 instead of 0.077567; StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.005185 instead of 0.006621
Craft 3404899
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −118 046.34₸
· invest 225 220.55₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075925 instead of 0.077567; StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.005185 instead of 0.006621
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.