The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −174 415.41₸

Invest 359 252.97₸

Average return 184 837.56₸

ROI −48.5%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 359 252.97 ₸, profit −174 415.41 ₸

float premium: 22 556 ₸ (6.7%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −126 138.29 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −217 419.60 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈54

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8772

67 992.47 ₸

at 33 996.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 34 350.43 ₸ +354.19 ₸ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4888

264 903.58 ₸

at 88 301.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸ +4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 332 896.05 ₸ −148 058.49 (−44.5%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 73%
About break-even 11%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244374

639 064.91 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

322 713.54 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

293 650.79 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

367 500.24 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

183 962.42 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

181 718.53 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

284 088.99 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

215 659.20 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

190 465.53 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

235 457.72 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

186 283.30 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

470 104.42 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

696 763.57 ₸ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

271 489.20 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

368 094.29 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

255 869.37 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

231 515.24 ₸ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

131 316.69 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

44 487.95 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

51 934.03 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

50 119.07 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

33 311.58 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

33 950.91 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

52 020.75 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

22 645.47 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

30 427.35 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

27 045.01 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

21 203.83 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

21 462.14 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

91 684.94 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

33 283.40 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

44 569.83 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

34 423.32 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

28 980.37 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

30 195.42 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

130 473.77 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

27 989.49 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

45 912.66 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

51 992.51 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

31 242.37 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

20 764.88 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 2 78% of the wear range fits ×1.05 67 992.47 → 71 500.88 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 3 78% of the wear range fits ×1.09 264 903.58 → 287 764.76 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.937499900

outcomes come out up to 0.074999, 0.244374, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.000000, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −167 298.62 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −151 074.72 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build