The Breakout Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404312 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
15 700.99 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 6 107.91 ₽+62.98 ₽ per item · on the market 99 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.999999f′ (normalized) 0.999999wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 65 · good ≈ 65
on the market with this float, usually ~65,
new listings per day: ~10.8, cheapest usually 6 044.93 ₽
Set · 5 pcs39 880.71 ₽
−18 637.97
(−46.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
31 401.98 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 6 107.91 ₽+62.98 ₽ per item · on the market 99 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.999999f′ (normalized) 0.999999wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 65 · good ≈ 65
on the market with this float, usually ~65,
new listings per day: ~10.8, cheapest usually 6 044.93 ₽
Set · 5 pcs49 536.77 ₽
−22 508.95
(−45.4%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
47 102.97 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 6 107.91 ₽+62.98 ₽ per item · on the market 99 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.999999f′ (normalized) 0.999999wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 65 · good ≈ 65
on the market with this float, usually ~65,
new listings per day: ~10.8, cheapest usually 6 044.93 ₽
Set · 5 pcs59 192.83 ₽
−26 379.92
(−44.6%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
62 803.96 ₽
at 15 700.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+885.72 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 121 414.89 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 123 892.75 ₽listings 5 · you get 121 414.89 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 155 356.96 ₽ versus 123 892.75 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 160 454.72 ₽
(you get 139 525.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 65
BS costs more than WW: 67 147.87 ₽ versus 65 451.49 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 147.87 ₽sell now to a buy order: 65 911.73 ₽
(you get 57 314.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 164
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 39 107.82 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 41 166.13 ₽listings 6 · you get 39 107.82 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 47 407.33 ₽ versus 41 166.13 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 49 064.78 ₽
(you get 42 665.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 217
MW costs more than FN: 33 161.71 ₽ versus 23 349.65 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 161.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 724.27 ₽
(you get 28 455.88 ₽)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 8 097.72 ₽ versus 7 910.48 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 097.72 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 096.81 ₽
(you get 7 040.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 50
BS costs more than FT: 9 508.34 ₽ versus 8 911.76 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTnow 9 508.34 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 9 734.26 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 412.49 ₽
(you get 8 184.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 123
BS costs more than MW: 6 021.57 ₽ versus 5 923.19 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWnow 6 021.57 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 6 198.40 ₽no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 15 564.21 ₽ versus 9 249.90 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 564.21 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 493.43 ₽
(you get 13 472.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 121
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)net 3 825.29 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 4 026.63 ₽listings 4 · you get 3 825.29 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 6 524.65 ₽ versus 4 026.63 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 6 497.27 ₽
(you get 5 649.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than FT: 4 809.78 ₽ versus 3 816.22 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 809.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 746.34 ₽
(you get 4 127.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 103
MW costs more than FN: 31 321.07 ₽ versus 16 302.66 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 321.07 ₽sell now to a buy order: 30 907.56 ₽
(you get 26 876.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 157
BS costs more than WW: 6 484.25 ₽ versus 5 918.18 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 484.25 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 6 891.34 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 10 a weekmonth average 7 925.04 ₽, sold 33 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 7 703.91 ₽
(you get 6 699.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than WW: 7 242.80 ₽ versus 6 120.87 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 242.80 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 313.71 ₽
(you get 6 359.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 4 480.91 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 5 153.05 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 5 193.31 ₽
(you get 4 515.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 5 414.11 ₽ versus 5 369.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 414.11 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 342.90 ₽
(you get 4 646.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 27
BS costs more than FT: 8 811.09 ₽ versus 8 163.81 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 8 811.09 ₽, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 7 644.43 ₽
(you get 6 647.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 91
BS costs more than WW: 6 648.59 ₽ versus 3 692.24 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 648.59 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 647.77 ₽
(you get 5 780.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 60
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 56 234.61 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 382.26 ₽listings 10 · you get 56 234.61 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 066.69 ₽
(you get 48 753.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than FT: 54 358.32 ₽ versus 52 214.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 358.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 54 285.12 ₽
(you get 47 204.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 244
BS costs more than FT: 72 705.03 ₽ versus 65 345.86 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 72 705.03 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 49 504.07 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 514.36 ₽listings 5 · you get 49 504.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 51 081.05 ₽ versus 50 514.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 53 240.69 ₽
(you get 46 296.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 176
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 33 189.66 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 867.01 ₽listings 3 · you get 33 189.66 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 780.69 ₽
(you get 30 244.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 48 336.06 ₽ versus 41 867.15 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48 336.06 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 81 918.28 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 83 590.09 ₽listings 16 · you get 81 918.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 112 583.06 ₽
(you get 97 898.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 648
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.3915 700.99 → 21 786.69 ₽
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.0224 179.72 → 24 598.03 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−20 900.80 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−19 013.97 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406348
· The Vanguard Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −18 570.57₽
· invest 34 816.99₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406356
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −18 570.57₽
· invest 34 816.99₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3404307
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −18 637.97₽
· invest 39 880.71₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3406301
· The Shadow Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −19 558.99₽
· invest 32 892.54₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406309
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −19 558.99₽
· invest 32 892.54₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.