The Fracture Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −10 014.54₴

Invest 22 550.79₴

Average return 12 536.24₴

ROI −44.4%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 49 302.98 ₴, profit at most −36 766.73 ₴

float premium: at least 25 220 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −13 568.23 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

4 740.84 ₴

at 2 370.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) — 4 975.18 ₴ +2 604.76 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0931

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

7 124.68 ₴

at 3 562.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 197.25 ₴ +4 634.91 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

10 685.27 ₴

at 10 685.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 13 844.87 ₴ +3 159.60 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0442

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 550.79 ₴ −10 014.54 (−44.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

7 124.68 ₴

at 3 562.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 197.25 ₴ +4 634.91 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

9 566.47 ₴

at 9 566.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 10 685.27 ₴ +1 118.79 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1447

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

21 370.53 ₴

at 10 685.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 13 844.87 ₴ +3 159.60 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0427

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 38 061.69 ₴ −14 821.69 (−38.9%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3 562.34 ₴

at 3 562.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 197.25 ₴ +4 634.91 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

42 741.07 ₴

at 10 685.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 13 844.87 ₴ +3 159.60 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0424

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 46 303.41 ₴ −17 711.52 (−38.2%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.5% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

2 370.42 ₴

at 2 370.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) — 4 975.18 ₴ +2 604.76 ₴ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

7 124.68 ₴

at 3 562.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 197.25 ₴ +4 634.91 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9 566.47 ₴

at 9 566.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 10 685.27 ₴ +1 118.79 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1376

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10 685.27 ₴

at 10 685.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 13 844.87 ₴ +3 159.60 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0406

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 29 746.84 ₴ −11 858.72 (−39.9%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 77%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

8 976.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

7 465.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 049.26 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 286.72 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 768.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 871.92 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 764.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 570.61 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 934.38 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 256.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 160.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 902.72 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

10 166.52 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

7 237.53 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 282.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 206.67 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 175.05 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 061.16 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 550.12 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 876.85 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 643.73 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 205.01 ₴ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 067.12 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

15 405.26 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

14 275.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 146.44 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 118.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 902.92 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 392.53 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 652.04 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

10 750.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 113.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 241.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 436.91 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 736.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

27 091.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

23 304.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 223.76 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 674.48 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 138.07 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 220.01 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

16 319.35 ₴ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 999.91 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 935.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 312.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 771.49 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 977.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

2 798.83 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 759.87 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 913.80 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

88 329.52 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

64 517.76 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 609.50 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

19 902.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

29 105.25 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

68 664.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

38 973.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

32 674.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

24 340.86 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

30 755.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

47 181.89 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 4 740.84 → 10 477.26 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 7 124.68 → 15 745.54 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 10 685.27 → 23 080.18 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 417.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10 212.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404336 · The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −10 014.55₴ · invest 22 550.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3406995 · The Vanguard Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −10 431.90₴ · invest 18 682.37₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.081469; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New): float at most 0.004152 instead of 0.010036
Craft 3407000 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −10 431.90₴ · invest 18 682.37₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.081469; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New): float at most 0.004152 instead of 0.010036

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build