StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404347 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8804
487.67 $
at 121.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) — 123.24 $+1.32 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.1500–0.3800
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8513
365.75 $
at 121.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) — 123.24 $+1.32 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.1500–0.3800
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8035
243.84 $
at 121.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) — 123.24 $+1.32 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.1500–0.3800
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.7105
121.92 $
at 121.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) — 123.24 $+1.32 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.1500–0.3800
BS costs more than FT: 293.80 $ versus 272.16 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 293.80 $sell now to a buy order: 288.21 $
(you get 250.62 $)) · buy orders: 48
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 421.91 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 430.52 $listings 5 · you get 421.91 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 629.34 $ versus 430.52 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 569.91 $
(you get 495.58 $)) · buy orders: 2646
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 162.68 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 166.00 $listings 3 · you get 162.68 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 174.98 $
(you get 152.15 $)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 162.02 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 186.32 $sell now to a buy order: 186.26 $
(you get 161.97 $)) · buy orders: 88
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)net 58.44 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 70.15 $ versus 67.20 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 70.15 $sell now to a buy order: 34.59 $
(you get 30.08 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 53.11 $
by lot · 1 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 61.18 $ versus 61.08 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.18 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 50.77 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 74.29 $ versus 58.39 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.29 $sell now to a buy order: 33.57 $
(you get 29.19 $)) · buy orders: 77
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 641.94 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 675.45 $listings 3 · you get 1 641.94 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 962.43 $ versus 1 675.45 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 522.48 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 533.14 $listings 7 · you get 522.48 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 566.90 $
(you get 492.96 $)) · buy orders: 92
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 592.36 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 769.78 $ versus 681.21 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 769.78 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 547.75 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 576.58 $listings 4 · you get 547.75 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 456.82 $
(you get 397.24 $)) · buy orders: 55
WW costs more than FT: 419.42 $ versus 315.43 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 419.42 $sell now to a buy order: 419.31 $
(you get 364.61 $)) · buy orders: 47
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 344.96 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 396.70 $sell now to a buy order: 316.92 $
(you get 275.58 $)) · buy orders: 104
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 290.74 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 514.92 $ versus 334.35 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 514.92 $sell now to a buy order: 514.78 $
(you get 447.63 $)) · buy orders: 93
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 698.60 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 712.86 $listings 10 · you get 698.60 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 696.52 $
(you get 605.67 $)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than FT: 675.29 $ versus 648.66 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 675.29 $sell now to a buy order: 674.38 $
(you get 586.42 $)) · buy orders: 244
BS costs more than FT: 903.21 $ versus 811.79 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 903.21 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 614.99 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 627.54 $listings 5 · you get 614.99 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 634.58 $ versus 627.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 661.41 $
(you get 575.14 $)) · buy orders: 176
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 432.08 $
(you get 375.72 $)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 600.48 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 600.48 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 1 017.67 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 038.44 $listings 16 · you get 1 017.67 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 398.62 $
(you get 1 216.19 $)) · buy orders: 648
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) × 478% of the wear range fits×1.16487.67 → 567.65 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 178% of the wear range fits×1.39195.05 → 270.66 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−366.82 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−341.48 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
9 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404353
· The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −334.76$
· invest 682.73$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405719
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −337.85$
· invest 633.26$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.908333 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3405728
· The Chroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −337.85$
· invest 633.26$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.908333 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407327
· The Shadow Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −346.20$
· invest 595.91$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407336
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −346.20$
· invest 595.91$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.899999 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407328
· The Shadow Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −347.07$
· invest 595.91$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407337
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −347.07$
· invest 595.91$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407392
· The Vanguard Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −347.69$
· invest 619.82$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.880434
Craft 3407401
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −347.69$
· invest 619.82$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.880434
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.