The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −357.17$

Invest 819.97$

Average return 462.80$

ROI −43.6%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest 831.66 $, profit −368.87 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −527.03 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

any lot

780.21 $

at 195.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

any lot

39.75 $

at 39.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 208.05 $ +168.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.9000

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 819.97 $ −357.17 (−43.6%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 82%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072685

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237142

1 411.67 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

712.86 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

648.66 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

811.79 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

406.36 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

401.41 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

627.54 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

476.38 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

420.73 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

520.12 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

411.49 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 038.44 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072685

261.14 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237142

216.13 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

124.21 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

103.98 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.908571

188.06 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

62.38 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

45.59 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

139.52 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

114.15 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

69.93 $ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

71.64 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.732342

78.26 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife

no wear

140.65 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −405.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −364.63 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404376 · The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −357.17$ · invest 819.97$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3404381 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −357.58$ · invest 813.76$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)
Craft 3404384 · The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −357.58$ · invest 813.76$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build