The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −336.24$

Invest 744.53$

Average return 408.30$

ROI −45.2%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 803.23 $, profit −394.93 $

float premium: 57 $ (7.6%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −292.41 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −489.45 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4888

585.16 $

at 195.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8772

159.37 $

at 79.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) — 111.37 $ +31.68 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.4500–0.5702

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 744.53 $ −336.24 (−45.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 83%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244374

1 411.67 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

712.86 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

648.66 $ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

811.79 $ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

406.36 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

401.41 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

627.54 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

476.38 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

420.73 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

520.12 $ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.753749

411.49 $ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 038.44 $ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

1 539.12 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

599.71 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

813.10 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

565.20 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

511.41 $ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

290.07 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

98.27 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

114.72 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

110.71 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

73.58 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

75.00 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

114.91 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

50.02 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

67.21 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

59.74 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

46.84 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

47.41 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

202.53 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

73.52 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

98.45 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

76.04 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

64.02 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

66.70 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

288.21 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

61.83 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.609374

101.42 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.796874

114.85 $ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.937499

69.01 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468749

45.87 $ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 3 78% of the wear range fits ×1.09 585.16 → 635.66 $

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 2 78% of the wear range fits ×1.05 159.37 → 167.60 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.937499900

outcomes come out up to 0.074999, 0.244374, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.937499, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.753749, 0.000000, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.796874, 0.937499, 0.468749

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −378.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −342.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404394 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −336.67$ · invest 744.53$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482142 instead of 0.488839; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.803571 instead of 0.877231
Craft 3404392 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −336.90$ · invest 744.53$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.488839; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.877231

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build