The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −14 719.09₴

Invest 35 128.69₴

Average return 20 409.60₴

ROI −41.9%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 77 533.60 ₴, profit at most −57 124.01 ₴

float premium: at least 41 629 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −21 639.04 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

10 685.27 ₴

at 10 685.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 13 844.87 ₴ +3 159.60 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0413

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

16 556.31 ₴

at 5 518.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) — 8 157.14 ₴ +2 638.37 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1087

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7 887.12 ₴

at 7 887.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) — 20 352.96 ₴ +12 465.84 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 35 128.69 ₴ −14 719.09 (−41.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

93 052.53 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

56 339.84 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

58 674.31 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

43 868.91 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

34 388.59 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

47 212.47 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

19 138.44 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

9 088.77 ₴ 2.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 187.32 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

5 844.55 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 840.94 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 181.13 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

6 611.32 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

4 842.00 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

4 388.18 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

4 186.16 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

14 095.77 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

10 159.98 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 212.62 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

6 217.17 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 246.17 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 726.53 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

16 978.10 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

10 565.64 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

7 420.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

6 773.67 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 317.06 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 531.22 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

88 329.52 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.030833

64 517.76 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

54 030.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

33 599.59 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

52 829.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

19 902.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

29 105.25 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

68 664.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

38 973.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

32 674.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

24 340.86 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

30 755.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

47 181.89 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 10 685.27 → 23 080.18 ₴

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) × 3 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 16 556.31 → 37 417.25 ₴

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 887.12 → 17 036.17 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.083333233

outcomes come out up to 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.030833, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −15 999.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −15 026.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404449 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −14 719.09₴ · invest 35 128.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3407854 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −16 143.47₴ · invest 30 264.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077140 instead of 0.076127; StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New): float at most 0.006247 instead of 0.005361
Craft 3407858 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −16 143.47₴ · invest 30 264.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077140 instead of 0.076127; StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New): float at most 0.006247 instead of 0.005361

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build