The Winter Offensive Collection
+ The Breakout Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404497 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Field-Tested
any lot
173.92 $
at 86.96
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 279.97 $+193.01 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Field-Tested
any lot
347.84 $
at 86.96
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 279.97 $+193.01 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Field-Tested
any lot
260.88 $
at 86.96
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 279.97 $+193.01 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Field-Tested
any lot
86.96 $
at 86.96
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 279.97 $+193.01 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 698.60 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 712.86 $listings 10 · you get 698.60 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 696.52 $
(you get 605.67 $)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than FT: 675.29 $ versus 648.66 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 675.29 $sell now to a buy order: 674.38 $
(you get 586.42 $)) · buy orders: 244
BS costs more than FT: 903.21 $ versus 811.79 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 903.21 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 614.99 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 627.54 $listings 5 · you get 614.99 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 634.58 $ versus 627.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 661.41 $
(you get 575.14 $)) · buy orders: 176
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 432.08 $
(you get 375.72 $)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 600.48 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 600.48 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 1 017.67 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 038.44 $listings 16 · you get 1 017.67 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 398.62 $
(you get 1 216.19 $)) · buy orders: 648
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 224.68 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 289.44 $ versus 258.38 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 289.44 $sell now to a buy order: 289.33 $
(you get 251.59 $)) · buy orders: 169
BS costs more than FT: 143.88 $ versus 140.35 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.88 $sell now to a buy order: 141.97 $
(you get 123.46 $)) · buy orders: 124
BS costs more than FT: 141.16 $ versus 134.17 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 141.16 $sell now to a buy order: 139.30 $
(you get 121.13 $)) · buy orders: 74
BS costs more than WW: 176.53 $ versus 132.73 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 176.53 $sell now to a buy order: 176.48 $
(you get 153.46 $)) · buy orders: 182
BS costs more than WW: 122.96 $ versus 117.58 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 122.96 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 173.66 $ versus 166.78 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 173.66 $sell now to a buy order: 171.37 $
(you get 149.02 $)) · buy orders: 103
FT costs more than MW: 301.11 $ versus 225.84 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.11 $sell now to a buy order: 301.02 $
(you get 261.76 $)) · buy orders: 87
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 153.10 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 161.15 $listings 4 · you get 153.10 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 161.50 $ versus 161.15 $ — calculated at the price of MWno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 138.96 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 237.57 $ versus 159.80 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 237.57 $sell now to a buy order: 233.19 $
(you get 202.77 $)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 93.38 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 95.29 $listings 3 · you get 93.38 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 134.90 $ versus 95.29 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 86.36 $
(you get 75.09 $)) · buy orders: 88
BS costs more than FT: 123.68 $ versus 110.52 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 123.68 $sell now to a buy order: 122.05 $
(you get 106.13 $)) · buy orders: 88
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 151.96 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 193.05 $ versus 174.75 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 193.05 $sell now to a buy order: 190.49 $
(you get 165.65 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 109.42 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 138.81 $ versus 125.83 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 138.81 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 103.95 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 106.07 $listings 5 · you get 103.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 111.78 $
(you get 97.20 $)) · buy orders: 55
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 96.32 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 101.39 $listings 6 · you get 96.32 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 120.28 $ versus 101.39 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 123.86 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 126.39 $listings 3 · you get 123.86 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 64.22 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 78.63 $ versus 73.86 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 78.63 $sell now to a buy order: 78.60 $
(you get 68.35 $)) · buy orders: 102
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 44.52 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 60.81 $ versus 51.20 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 60.81 $sell now to a buy order: 60.00 $
(you get 52.18 $)) · buy orders: 103
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)net 49.37 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 65.16 $ versus 56.77 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 65.16 $sell now to a buy order: 65.15 $
(you get 56.66 $)) · buy orders: 93
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 52.70 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 62.05 $ versus 60.60 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.05 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 52.81 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 81.95 $ versus 60.73 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 81.95 $sell now to a buy order: 80.88 $
(you get 70.33 $)) · buy orders: 113
FT costs more than MW: 1 027.91 $ versus 997.26 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 027.91 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 801.08 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 843.24 $listings 4 · you get 801.08 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 927.75 $ versus 843.24 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 538.01 $ versus 440.78 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 538.01 $sell now to a buy order: 537.84 $
(you get 467.69 $)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 595.31 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 693.10 $ versus 684.61 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 693.10 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 403.75 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 425.00 $listings 8 · you get 403.75 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 459.27 $ versus 425.00 $ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 435.09 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 457.99 $listings 3 · you get 435.09 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 481.94 $ versus 457.99 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 259.97 $
(you get 226.06 $)) · buy orders: 141
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 058.40 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 080.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 058.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 976.86 $
(you get 849.44 $)) · buy orders: 137
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 322.98 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 339.98 $listings 4 · you get 322.98 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 500.78 $ versus 339.98 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 362.68 $
(you get 315.38 $)) · buy orders: 37
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 386.70 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 594.90 $ versus 444.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 594.90 $sell now to a buy order: 585.90 $
(you get 509.48 $)) · buy orders: 237
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 271.60 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 285.89 $listings 4 · you get 271.60 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 344.10 $ versus 285.89 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 259.97 $
(you get 226.06 $)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 356.16 $ versus 291.23 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 356.16 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 378.40 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 386.12 $listings 3 · you get 378.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 434.25 $ versus 386.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 322.38 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 328.96 $listings 3 · you get 322.38 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 263.40 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 268.78 $listings 4 · you get 263.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 286.36 $ versus 268.78 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 329.15 $
(you get 286.22 $)) · buy orders: 121
BS costs more than FT: 327.24 $ versus 291.97 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 327.24 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 674.56 $sell now to a buy order: 666.23 $
(you get 579.33 $)) · buy orders: 294
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.15173.92 → 199.68 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.01585.16 → 591.01 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−374.19 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−338.25 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.