The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −6 395.57₴

Invest 10 276.01₴

Average return 3 880.44₴

ROI −62.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 10 276.01 ₴, profit −6 395.57 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈6

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

6 878.24 ₴

at 1 719.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 3 894.66 ₴ +2 175.10 ₴ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.4500–0.7000

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Well-Worn

any lot

1 524.00 ₴

at 1 524.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) — 2 954.28 ₴ +1 430.28 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.4500–0.7973

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 8 402.24 ₴ −4 521.80 (−53.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 86%
About break-even 8%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071200

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232500

6 573.76 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

4 966.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

4 369.11 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

7 698.77 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 160.71 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 111.15 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

6 537.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 581.66 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 343.21 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

4 060.42 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 894.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

9 412.29 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071200

9 343.75 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232500

6 323.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

3 663.50 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

2 986.57 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.890000

5 424.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 393.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 339.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

3 999.06 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 351.73 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 264.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 540.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.718600

2 228.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 362.45 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 342.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 672.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404691 · The Huntsman Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 503.31₴ · invest 8 684.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)
Craft 3404696 · The CS20 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −4 503.31₴ · invest 8 684.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)
Craft 3404700 · The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 521.80₴ · invest 8 402.24₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3404731 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 552.31₴ · invest 9 753.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.473684 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404736 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −4 552.31₴ · invest 9 753.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.473684 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404732 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 560.88₴ · invest 9 753.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404737 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −4 560.88₴ · invest 9 753.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404618 · The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 677.91₴ · invest 9 418.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)
Craft 3404623 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −4 677.91₴ · invest 9 418.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)
Craft 3404619 · The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 682.64₴ · invest 9 418.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404624 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −4 682.64₴ · invest 9 418.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404741 · The Prisma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 858.93₴ · invest 10 059.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.485714 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404746 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −4 858.93₴ · invest 10 059.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.485714 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3404742 · The Prisma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 867.50₴ · invest 10 059.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)
Craft 3404747 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −4 867.50₴ · invest 10 059.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build