StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404780 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9999
5 330.57 ₴
at 5 330.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 5 386.58 ₴+56.01 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 1 781.17 ₴
Set · 5 pcs12 208.81 ₴
−6 276.55
(−51.4%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9999
10 661.13 ₴
at 5 330.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 5 386.58 ₴+56.01 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 1 781.17 ₴
Set · 5 pcs15 819.81 ₴
−7 949.27
(−50.2%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9999
15 991.70 ₴
at 5 330.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 5 386.58 ₴+56.01 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
FT costs more than MW: 7 687.43 ₴ versus 6 573.76 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 687.43 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 589.52 ₴
(you get 6 599.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 5 135.43 ₴ versus 4 369.11 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 135.43 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 7 942.53 ₴ versus 7 698.77 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 942.53 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 939.98 ₴
(you get 6 904.33 ₴)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than MW: 3 809.95 ₴ versus 3 160.71 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 809.95 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 808.75 ₴
(you get 3 311.95 ₴)) · buy orders: 105
BS costs more than WW: 3 126.09 ₴ versus 3 111.15 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 126.09 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 084.94 ₴
(you get 2 682.56 ₴)) · buy orders: 75
BS costs more than MW: 4 541.24 ₴ versus 3 581.66 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 541.24 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 3 414.17 ₴ versus 2 343.21 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 414.17 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 4 359.32 ₴ versus 3 894.99 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 359.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 302.14 ₴
(you get 3 740.99 ₴)) · buy orders: 105
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 8 184.60 ₴The CS20 Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 9 412.29 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 91 191.47 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 93 052.53 ₴listings 5 · you get 91 191.47 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 104 006.99 ₴ versus 93 052.53 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 90 856.55 ₴
(you get 79 005.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 53 522.85 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 56 339.84 ₴listings 3 · you get 53 522.85 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 85 704.86 ₴ versus 56 339.84 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 55 740.59 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 58 674.31 ₴listings 5 · you get 55 740.59 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 58 702.14 ₴ versus 58 674.31 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 28 112.79 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 28 686.53 ₴listings 3 · you get 28 112.79 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 23 714.14 ₴
(you get 20 620.99 ₴)) · buy orders: 31
MW costs more than FN: 11 485.85 ₴ versus 9 088.77 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 485.85 ₴no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 8 497.60 ₴ versus 8 187.32 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 497.60 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 336.72 ₴
(you get 7 249.32 ₴)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 4 702.02 ₴ versus 3 662.84 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 702.02 ₴no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 5 169.45 ₴ versus 4 842.00 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 169.45 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 4 006.82 ₴ versus 3 111.35 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 006.82 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 005.09 ₴
(you get 3 482.68 ₴)) · buy orders: 86
month average 2 843.82 ₴, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 557.48 ₴
(you get 2 223.89 ₴)) · buy orders: 212
BS costs more than FT: 3 207.00 ₴ versus 3 061.16 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 207.00 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 164.80 ₴
(you get 2 752.00 ₴)) · buy orders: 105
MW costs more than FN: 18 400.46 ₴ versus 14 095.77 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 18 400.46 ₴no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 29 402.25 ₴ versus 10 159.98 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 29 402.25 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 10 220.75 ₴
(you get 8 887.61 ₴)) · buy orders: 143
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 7 801.98 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 8 212.62 ₴listings 4 · you get 7 801.98 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 10 240.18 ₴ versus 8 212.62 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 3 888.81 ₴ versus 3 222.47 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 888.81 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 837.23 ₴
(you get 3 336.73 ₴)) · buy orders: 32
BS costs more than WW: 3 306.73 ₴ versus 3 246.17 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWnow 3 306.73 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 3 315.56 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 804.17 ₴
(you get 2 438.41 ₴)) · buy orders: 158
BS costs more than WW: 4 896.82 ₴ versus 4 275.84 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 896.82 ₴no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 16 638.54 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 16 978.10 ₴listings 6 · you get 16 638.54 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 21 808.97 ₴ versus 16 978.10 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 16 351.98 ₴
(you get 14 219.11 ₴)) · buy orders: 180
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 10 037.35 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 10 565.64 ₴listings 3 · you get 10 037.35 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 23 208.74 ₴ versus 10 565.64 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 10 859.10 ₴
(you get 9 442.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 322
BS costs more than FT: 6 207.87 ₴ versus 3 814.60 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 207.87 ₴sell now to a buy order: 6 206.00 ₴
(you get 5 396.52 ₴)) · buy orders: 51
month average 3 387.82 ₴, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 776.19 ₴
(you get 2 414.08 ₴)) · buy orders: 131
month average 3 529.00 ₴, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 3 430.82 ₴
(you get 2 983.32 ₴)) · buy orders: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×0.905 330.57 → 4 797.51 ₴
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.286 878.24 → 8 813.78 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−7 118.95 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−6 440.22 ₴historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404793
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 034.95₴
· invest 11 967.21₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404800
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −6 034.95₴
· invest 11 967.21₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404794
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 219.72₴
· invest 11 967.21₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.497058 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404801
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −6 219.72₴
· invest 11 967.21₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.497058 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404779
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 243.01₴
· invest 11 990.50₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404786
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −6 243.01₴
· invest 11 990.50₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404787
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −6 276.54₴
· invest 12 208.81₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404646
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 532.42₴
· invest 12 417.64₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483552 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404655
· The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −6 532.42₴
· invest 12 417.64₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483552 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404549
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 548.92₴
· invest 12 589.79₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404557
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −6 548.92₴
· invest 12 589.79₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.