The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −13 642.37₽

Invest 23 558.33₽

Average return 9 915.96₽

ROI −57.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 52 238.54 ₽, profit at most −42 322.58 ₽

float premium: at least 28 026 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −13 775.38 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

3 832.30 ₽

at 3 832.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) — 29 002.48 ₽ +25 170.18 ₽ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.2531

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

13 525.44 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1158

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

6 200.59 ₽

at 6 200.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 26 166.15 ₽ +19 965.56 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0150

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 23 558.33 ₽ −13 642.37 (−57.9%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 92%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

21 832.07 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

18 703.16 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 275.34 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 976.30 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 744.00 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 798.99 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

14 516.98 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 649.28 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 982.13 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 286.13 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 798.75 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

7 337.01 ₽ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

26 495.77 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

18 244.83 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 012.56 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 091.16 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

16 606.88 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 599.70 ₽ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 648.10 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16 395.06 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 345.47 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 100.67 ₽ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 816.10 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 743.72 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

16 675.34 ₽ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 832.30 → 8 277.77 ₽

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 13 525.44 → 30 567.49 ₽

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 200.59 → 13 393.27 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 732.12 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −13 762.01 ₽ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3407698 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −13 315.91₽ · invest 28 355.76₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162140 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3407716 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −13 315.91₽ · invest 28 355.76₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162140 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3406146 · The Wildfire Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −13 465.85₽ · invest 24 543.46₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3406154 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −13 465.85₽ · invest 24 543.46₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3404830 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −13 642.37₽ · invest 23 558.33₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3408829 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −14 157.46₽ · invest 27 537.44₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161535 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074012 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3408837 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −14 157.46₽ · invest 27 537.44₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161535 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074012 instead of 0.074172

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build