The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −15 852.50₽

Invest 27 740.54₽

Average return 11 888.04₽

ROI −57.1%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 61 779.74 ₽, profit at most −49 891.70 ₽

float premium: at least 32 094 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −16 384.54 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

4 508.48 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1272

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

4 630.29 ₽

at 4 630.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) — 13 242.11 ₽ +8 611.82 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.1223

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

18 601.77 ₽

at 6 200.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 26 166.15 ₽ +19 965.56 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0237

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 740.54 ₽ −15 852.50 (−57.1%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 24.6% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0872

9 016.96 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1363

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0150

15 113.80 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0235

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0150

6 200.59 ₽

at 6 200.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 26 166.15 ₽ +19 965.56 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0308

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 30 331.35 ₽ −22 096.57 (−72.8%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0864

9 016.96 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1350

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0143

7 556.90 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0224

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0143

12 401.18 ₽

at 6 200.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 26 166.15 ₽ +19 965.56 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0298

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 28 975.04 ₽ −19 522.51 (−67.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0856

9 016.96 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1338

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0137

18 601.77 ₽

at 6 200.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 26 166.15 ₽ +19 965.56 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0289

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 618.73 ₽ −16 948.44 (−61.4%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 6%
Losing outcome 88%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

26 495.77 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

18 244.83 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 554.66 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 666.47 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 803.91 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 599.70 ₽ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 648.10 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

16 395.06 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 345.47 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 100.67 ₽ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 816.10 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 743.72 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

16 675.34 ₽ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

21 832.07 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

18 703.16 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 798.99 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

14 516.98 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

12 649.28 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 982.13 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 286.13 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 798.75 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

7 337.01 ₽ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 508.48 → 9 738.32 ₽

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 630.29 → 10 001.43 ₽

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 18 601.77 → 42 040.00 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −17 227.31 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −15 942.19 ₽ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404831 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −15 852.50₽ · invest 27 740.54₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build