StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404825 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
any lot
75.69 $
at 37.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 85.72 $+47.87 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.7000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 1 · from 39.71 $ (float 0.4658) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
142.83 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs218.52 $
−123.26
(−56.4%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
any lot
113.54 $
at 37.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 85.72 $+47.87 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.7000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 1 · from 39.71 $ (float 0.4658) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
95.22 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs208.76 $
−108.61
(−52.0%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
any lot
37.85 $
at 37.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 85.72 $+47.87 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.7000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 6 · good ≈ 6Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 1 · from 39.71 $ (float 0.4658) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
190.43 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 271.22 $sell now to a buy order: 271.18 $
(you get 235.80 $)) · buy orders: 416
sell on Market.CSGO: 266.25 $ to your card
cheapest lot 291.94 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 283.08 $listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 245.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 250.74 $listings: 12
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.28 $sell now to a buy order: 186.78 $
(you get 162.41 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.43 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.88 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 104.53 $sell now to a buy order: 103.16 $
(you get 89.71 $)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 254.02 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 104.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 114.56 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 106.56 $listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 180.21 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 193.76 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 55.87 $
(you get 48.59 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 340.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 182.20 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 75.01 $
(you get 65.22 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.79 $sell now to a buy order: 59.00 $
(you get 51.30 $)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.26 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 91.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 119.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 131.02 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 116.65 $listings: 35
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 329.16 $sell now to a buy order: 329.08 $
(you get 286.15 $)) · buy orders: 297
sell on Market.CSGO: 277.29 $ to your card
cheapest lot 304.05 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 275.00 $listings: 20
on CS.Money: ~ 270.28 $
on Lis-Skins: from 274.69 $listings: 32
FT costs more than MW: 169.19 $ versus 144.68 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 169.19 $sell now to a buy order: 167.04 $
(you get 145.25 $)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 179.01 $ to your card
cheapest lot 196.28 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 192.61 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 175.42 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 95.06 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 109.32 $sell now to a buy order: 109.26 $
(you get 95.01 $)) · buy orders: 75Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 113.03 $ versus 96.16 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 113.03 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 104.53 $ to your card
cheapest lot 114.61 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 83.13 $
on Lis-Skins: from 102.61 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 147.34 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 174.81 $ versus 169.44 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 174.81 $sell now to a buy order: 174.75 $
(you get 151.96 $)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 83.85 $ versus 69.57 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 83.85 $sell now to a buy order: 83.83 $
(you get 72.89 $)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 70.23 $ to your card
cheapest lot 77.01 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 75.00 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 78.66 $listings: 10
BS costs more than WW: 68.80 $ versus 68.47 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 68.80 $sell now to a buy order: 67.90 $
(you get 59.04 $)) · buy orders: 75
sell on Market.CSGO: 75.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 82.76 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 78.94 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80.13 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 125.11 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.88 $no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 174.74 $listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 99.95 $ versus 78.83 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 99.95 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 99.70 $ to your card
cheapest lot 109.32 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 99.90 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 75.14 $ versus 51.57 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 75.14 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 89.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 98.51 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 76.54 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 77.71 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.37 $sell now to a buy order: 90.34 $
(you get 78.56 $)) · buy orders: 103Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 107.02 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 109.75 $listings: 6
BS costs more than FT: 95.95 $ versus 85.73 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.95 $sell now to a buy order: 94.69 $
(you get 82.34 $)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 141.06 $ to your card
cheapest lot 154.67 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 69.33 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 180.14 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 207.16 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 196.01 $ to your card
cheapest lot 214.93 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 251.62 $
on Lis-Skins: from 213.98 $listings: 10
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.0575.69 → 79.39 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.03142.83 → 147.33 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.756250000
outcomes come out up to 0.060500, 0.199062, 0.756250, 0.756250, 0.756250, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.000000, 0.060500, 0.199062, 0.756250, 0.756250, 0.756250, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.619625, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−140.68 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−126.54 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.