StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404928 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
62 373.32 ₸
at 62 373.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 73 111.03 ₸+10 737.70 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 11.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
124 746.65 ₸
at 62 373.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 73 111.03 ₸+10 737.70 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
187 119.97 ₸
at 62 373.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 73 111.03 ₸+10 737.70 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 14.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
249 493.30 ₸
at 62 373.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 73 111.03 ₸+10 737.70 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
BS costs more than MW: 66 443.58 ₸ versus 60 215.14 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 66 443.58 ₸sell now to a buy order: 65 184.44 ₸
(you get 56 682.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 97
BS costs more than WW: 52 857.02 ₸ versus 40 410.43 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 52 857.02 ₸sell now to a buy order: 52 838.80 ₸
(you get 45 946.74 ₸)) · buy orders: 81
BS costs more than FT: 41 385.79 ₸ versus 35 799.43 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 41 385.79 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 39 950.96 ₸
(you get 34 739.94 ₸)) · buy orders: 146
BS costs more than FT: 77 647.57 ₸ versus 68 795.96 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 77 647.57 ₸sell now to a buy order: 76 622.89 ₸
(you get 66 628.56 ₸)) · buy orders: 60
BS costs more than WW: 67 198.37 ₸ versus 46 967.48 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 198.37 ₸sell now to a buy order: 58 129.79 ₸
(you get 50 547.62 ₸)) · buy orders: 73
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 229 488.43 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 234 171.93 ₸listings 6 · you get 229 488.43 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 267 094.50 ₸ versus 234 171.93 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 320 474.10 ₸
(you get 278 673.09 ₸)) · buy orders: 288
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 220 569.73 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 225 071.18 ₸listings 3 · you get 220 569.73 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 243 825.62 ₸ versus 225 071.18 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 144 738.47 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 147 692.32 ₸listings 4 · you get 144 738.47 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 157 096.82 ₸ versus 147 692.32 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 92 399.52 ₸
(you get 80 347.39 ₸)) · buy orders: 118
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 67 889.44 ₸sells 4 a weekmonth average 78 072.85 ₸, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 67 885.67 ₸
(you get 59 030.97 ₸)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 62 756.37 ₸sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 72 169.81 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 186 256.25 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 190 057.41 ₸listings 5 · you get 186 256.25 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 215 613.20 ₸ versus 190 057.41 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 212 804.72 ₸
(you get 185 047.56 ₸)) · buy orders: 345
MW costs more than FN: 141 041.07 ₸ versus 106 227.57 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 141 041.07 ₸sell now to a buy order: 138 442.20 ₸
(you get 120 384.51 ₸)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 62 545.53 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 63 821.99 ₸listings 3 · you get 62 545.53 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 54 323.74 ₸
(you get 47 237.99 ₸)) · buy orders: 86
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 46 843.47 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 49 308.95 ₸listings 3 · you get 46 843.47 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 84 223.17 ₸ versus 49 308.95 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 65 316.21 ₸
(you get 56 796.70 ₸)) · buy orders: 98
MW costs more than FN: 81 534.60 ₸ versus 64 795.32 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 81 534.60 ₸sell now to a buy order: 81 513.51 ₸
(you get 70 881.31 ₸)) · buy orders: 53
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 587 834.27 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 599 830.89 ₸listings 9 · you get 587 834.27 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 472 240.00 ₸
(you get 410 643.45 ₸)) · buy orders: 708
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 500 955.36 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 511 178.99 ₸listings 7 · you get 500 955.36 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 679 053.83 ₸ versus 511 178.99 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 361 573.52 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 368 952.61 ₸listings 5 · you get 361 573.52 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 251 997.74 ₸ versus 165 616.00 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 251 997.74 ₸sell now to a buy order: 248 675.92 ₸
(you get 216 239.93 ₸)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 94 535.43 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 96 464.77 ₸listings 6 · you get 94 535.43 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 533 736.32 ₸ versus 96 464.77 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 561 507.55 ₸
(you get 488 267.39 ₸)) · buy orders: 223
MW costs more than FN: 417 819.13 ₸ versus 331 226.82 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 417 819.13 ₸sell now to a buy order: 410 126.78 ₸
(you get 356 631.94 ₸)) · buy orders: 439
BS costs more than WW: 150 370.94 ₸ versus 122 473.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 150 370.94 ₸no buy orders
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 160 476.12 ₸sell now to a buy order: 158 719.21 ₸
(you get 138 016.69 ₸)) · buy orders: 69
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0362 373.32 → 64 194.63 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0130 829.80 → 31 218.25 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0099 695.32 → 100 193.80 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−138 994.64 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−134 125.44 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406487
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −125 475.48₸
· invest 185 717.76₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406495
· The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −125 475.48₸
· invest 185 717.76₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406701
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −131 149.73₸
· invest 186 313.45₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404921
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −133 425.65₸
· invest 192 898.44₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405667
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −136 962.14₸
· invest 196 434.94₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3405674
· The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −136 962.14₸
· invest 196 434.94₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.