StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405025 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
33 272.13 ₽
at 11 090.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 13 000.00 ₽+1 909.29 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 11Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 9 · from 10 679.38 ₽ (float 0.5006) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
3 200.00 ₽
at 3 200.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 16 747.23 ₽+13 547.23 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 63 of 63 · from 2 574.26 ₽ (float 0.2904) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Battle-Scarred
any lot
3 400.98 ₽
at 3 400.98
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 16 747.23 ₽+13 346.25 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
44 362.84 ₽
at 11 090.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 13 000.00 ₽+1 909.29 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 11Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 9 · from 10 679.38 ₽ (float 0.5006) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
3 200.00 ₽
at 3 200.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 16 747.23 ₽+13 547.23 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 63 of 63 · from 2 574.26 ₽ (float 0.2904) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
MW costs more than FN: 28 545.49 ₽ versus 21 020.40 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 545.49 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 169.87 ₽
(you get 24 495.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 133not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 18 075.01 ₽ versus 17 397.55 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 18 075.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 17 733.68 ₽
(you get 15 420.59 ₽)) · buy orders: 218
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 580.61 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 469.97 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 998.45 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 995.53 ₽
(you get 8 691.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 56
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 488.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 500.00 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 11 038.39 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 11 646.94 ₽listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 8 498.37 ₽ versus 8 369.63 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 498.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 495.12 ₽
(you get 7 387.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 67
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 292.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 671.35 · lots 4
BS costs more than FT: 21 437.65 ₽ versus 15 137.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 21 437.65 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 17 709.08 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 11 853.01 ₽Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 021.60 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 6 871.37 ₽ versus 3 669.42 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 871.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 868.55 ₽
(you get 5 972.65 ₽)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 230.60 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 7 818.56 ₽
BS costs more than FT: 10 440.36 ₽ versus 9 188.61 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 440.36 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 5 347.31 ₽The Huntsman Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 5 628.75 ₽listings 3 · you get 5 347.31 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 7 999.00 ₽ versus 5 628.75 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 4 296.67 ₽
(you get 3 736.23 ₽)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 295.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 999.00 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 766.62 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 764.64 ₽
(you get 5 012.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 87Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 6 762.72 ₽ versus 6 299.82 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 762.72 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 760.41 ₽
(you get 5 878.61 ₽)) · buy orders: 210not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 321.42 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 114.85 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 283.83 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 11 183.29 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 11 261.37 ₽listings: 23
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 40 805.74 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 41 638.52 ₽listings 6 · you get 40 805.74 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 47 492.54 ₽ versus 41 638.52 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 56 984.06 ₽
(you get 49 551.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 288
sell on Market.CSGO: 54 720.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 60 000.00 · lots 4price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 47 492.54 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 39 219.89 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 40 020.30 ₽listings 3 · you get 39 219.89 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 43 355.06 ₽ versus 40 020.30 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 43 355.06 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 25 736.20 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 26 261.43 ₽listings 4 · you get 25 736.20 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 27 933.66 ₽ versus 26 261.43 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 16 429.72 ₽
(you get 14 286.71 ₽)) · buy orders: 118Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 27 933.66 ₽listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 14 925.10 ₽ versus 13 692.52 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 925.10 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 729.26 ₽
(you get 12 808.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 95not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 12 071.54 ₽sells 4 a weekmonth average 13 882.27 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 12 070.87 ₽
(you get 10 496.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 171
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 467.72 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 477.77 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 10 049.90 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 10 232.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 745.63 ₽listings: 51
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 11 158.82 ₽sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 12 832.64 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 405.48 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 699.00 · lots 8CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 11 455.36 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 502.37 ₽listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 33 118.55 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 794.44 ₽listings 5 · you get 33 118.55 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 38 338.56 ₽ versus 33 794.44 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 37 839.18 ₽
(you get 32 903.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 345Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 38 338.56 ₽listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 21 367.35 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 38 475.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 42 187.71 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 33 808.25 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 28 972.06 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 39 318.19 ₽listings: 4
MW costs more than FN: 25 078.76 ₽ versus 18 888.51 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 25 078.76 ₽sell now to a buy order: 24 616.65 ₽
(you get 21 405.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 56Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 26 483.13 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 19 598.32 ₽Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 10 994.90 ₽
(you get 9 560.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 50not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 153.42 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 150.80 ₽
(you get 9 696.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 175
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 042.18 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 914.68 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 8 693.55 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 8 724.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 732.99 ₽listings: 26
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 8 329.32 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 8 767.71 ₽listings 3 · you get 8 329.32 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 14 975.87 ₽ versus 8 767.71 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 11 613.99 ₽
(you get 10 099.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 657.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 975.87 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 9 951.70 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 404.99 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 006.07 ₽
(you get 7 831.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 143not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 13 684.29 ₽listings: 5
MW costs more than FN: 14 497.81 ₽ versus 11 521.37 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 497.81 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 494.06 ₽
(you get 12 603.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 53Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 8 896.13 ₽
(you get 7 735.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 150Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 6 998.28 ₽ versus 4 699.30 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 998.28 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 996.51 ₽
(you get 6 083.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 46Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 4 958.39 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 5 179.18 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 070.62 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 559.90 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 4 829.75 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 4 145.54 ₽listings: 32
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 4 072.85 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 683.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 621.99 ₽
(you get 4 019.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 186
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 927.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 499.99 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 6 202.20 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 104 523.84 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 106 656.98 ₽listings 9 · you get 104 523.84 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 83 969.82 ₽
(you get 73 017.23 ₽)) · buy orders: 708Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 106 656.98 ₽listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 89 075.75 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 90 893.63 ₽listings 7 · you get 89 075.75 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 120 743.75 ₽ versus 90 893.63 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 120 743.75 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 64 292.02 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 65 604.11 ₽listings 5 · you get 64 292.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 65 604.11 ₽listings: 5
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 40 780.84 ₽sell now to a buy order: 40 242.54 ₽
(you get 34 993.51 ₽)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 42 491.83 ₽sell now to a buy order: 34 526.56 ₽
(you get 30 023.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 254
sell on Market.CSGO: 37 857.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 41 510.08 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 32 476.04 ₽listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 37 994.84 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 36 330.99 ₽listings: 33
BS costs more than WW: 44 808.16 ₽ versus 29 448.47 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 44 808.16 ₽sell now to a buy order: 44 217.50 ₽
(you get 38 450.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 212Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 35 192.78 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 35 277.30 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 36 227.96 ₽listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 16 809.51 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 17 152.57 ₽listings 6 · you get 16 809.51 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 94 904.59 ₽ versus 17 152.57 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 99 842.64 ₽
(you get 86 819.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 223Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shown
MW costs more than FN: 74 293.15 ₽ versus 58 896.02 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 74 293.15 ₽sell now to a buy order: 72 925.36 ₽
(you get 63 413.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 439Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 56 704.49 ₽listings: 4Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 42 216.06 ₽
(you get 36 709.61 ₽)) · buy orders: 86Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 62 516.28 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 30 833.89 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 32 456.73 ₽listings 3 · you get 30 833.89 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 43 884.97 ₽ versus 32 456.73 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWsell now to a buy order: 24 305.75 ₽
(you get 21 135.43 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 40 023.09 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 43 884.97 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 26 737.72 ₽ versus 21 777.29 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 26 737.72 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 25 989.95 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 28 497.76 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 22 538.83 ₽listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 25 334.45 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 24 602.75 ₽listings: 38
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 534.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 222.14 ₽
(you get 24 540.99 ₽)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 24 989.70 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 27 400.99 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 24 551.23 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 24 878.85 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 25 783.62 ₽listings: 13
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0433 272.13 → 34 569.74 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.003 200.00 → 3 199.36 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.073 400.98 → 3 641.09 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−22 587.44 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−21 438.06 ₽historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.