StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405025 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
18 780.24 ₴
at 6 260.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 7 337.77 ₴+1 077.69 ₴ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 11Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 9 · from 6 027.91 ₴ (float 0.5006) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
1 806.22 ₴
at 1 806.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 9 452.87 ₴+7 646.65 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 63 of 63 · from 1 453.02 ₴ (float 0.2904) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Battle-Scarred
any lot
1 919.66 ₴
at 1 919.66
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 9 452.87 ₴+7 533.21 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
25 040.32 ₴
at 6 260.08
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) — 7 337.77 ₴+1 077.69 ₴ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 11Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 9 · from 6 027.91 ₴ (float 0.5006) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
1 806.22 ₴
at 1 806.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 9 452.87 ₴+7 646.65 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 63 of 63 · from 1 453.02 ₴ (float 0.2904) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
MW costs more than FN: 16 112.32 ₴ versus 11 864.83 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 112.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 15 900.30 ₴
(you get 13 826.35 ₴)) · buy orders: 133not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 10 202.32 ₴ versus 9 819.94 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 202.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 10 009.66 ₴
(you get 8 704.05 ₴)) · buy orders: 218
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 052.15 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 12 118.59 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 643.56 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 641.91 ₴
(you get 4 906.01 ₴)) · buy orders: 56
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 919.88 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 491.10 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 6 230.55 ₴listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 6 574.04 ₴listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 4 796.85 ₴ versus 4 724.18 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 796.85 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 795.02 ₴
(you get 4 169.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 67
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 067.18 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 845.59 · lots 4
BS costs more than FT: 12 100.34 ₴ versus 8 544.38 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 100.34 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 9 995.78 ₴listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 6 690.36 ₴Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 834.41 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 3 878.50 ₴ versus 2 071.18 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 878.50 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 876.91 ₴
(you get 3 371.22 ₴)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 339.04 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 4 413.14 ₴
BS costs more than FT: 5 892.99 ₴ versus 5 186.45 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 892.99 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 3 018.25 ₴The Huntsman Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 3 177.11 ₴listings 3 · you get 3 018.25 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 4 514.98 ₴ versus 3 177.11 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 2 425.23 ₴
(you get 2 108.89 ₴)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 117.66 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 514.98 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 254.93 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 253.81 ₴
(you get 2 829.40 ₴)) · buy orders: 87Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 3 817.17 ₴ versus 3 555.89 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 817.17 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 815.87 ₴
(you get 3 318.14 ₴)) · buy orders: 210not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 390.30 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 838.15 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 497.97 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 6 312.34 ₴listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 6 356.41 ₴listings: 23
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 23 032.54 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 23 502.60 ₴listings 6 · you get 23 032.54 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 26 806.86 ₴ versus 23 502.60 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 32 164.29 ₴
(you get 27 968.94 ₴)) · buy orders: 288
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 886.35 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 33 866.62 · lots 4price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 26 806.86 ₴listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 22 137.42 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 22 589.20 ₴listings 3 · you get 22 137.42 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 24 471.49 ₴ versus 22 589.20 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 24 471.49 ₴listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 14 526.63 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 14 823.10 ₴listings 4 · you get 14 526.63 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 15 766.98 ₴ versus 14 823.10 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 9 273.65 ₴
(you get 8 064.04 ₴)) · buy orders: 118Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 15 766.98 ₴listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 8 424.38 ₴ versus 7 728.66 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 424.38 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 313.84 ₴
(you get 7 229.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 95not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 6 813.70 ₴sells 4 a weekmonth average 7 835.76 ₴, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 6 813.33 ₴
(you get 5 924.63 ₴)) · buy orders: 171
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 908.44 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 478.55 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 5 672.60 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 5 775.74 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 5 500.86 ₴listings: 51
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 6 298.52 ₴sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 7 243.30 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 566.64 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 296.76 · lots 8CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 6 465.90 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 621.33 ₴listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 18 693.55 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 19 075.06 ₴listings 5 · you get 18 693.55 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 21 639.96 ₴ versus 19 075.06 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 21 358.08 ₴
(you get 18 572.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 345Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 21 639.96 ₴listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 060.66 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 717.08 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 23 812.58 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 19 082.85 ₴listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 16 353.09 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 22 192.90 ₴listings: 4
MW costs more than FN: 14 155.55 ₴ versus 10 661.50 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 155.55 ₴sell now to a buy order: 13 894.71 ₴
(you get 12 082.36 ₴)) · buy orders: 56Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 14 948.23 ₴listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 11 062.15 ₴Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 6 206.00 ₴
(you get 5 396.52 ₴)) · buy orders: 50not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 295.48 ₴sell now to a buy order: 6 294.00 ₴
(you get 5 473.04 ₴)) · buy orders: 175
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 103.80 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 596.28 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 4 907.02 ₴listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 4 924.74 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 929.28 ₴listings: 26
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 4 701.43 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 4 948.88 ₴listings 3 · you get 4 701.43 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 8 453.03 ₴ versus 4 948.88 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 6 555.44 ₴
(you get 5 700.38 ₴)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 709.17 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 453.03 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 5 617.17 ₴Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 308.59 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 083.42 ₴
(you get 4 420.36 ₴)) · buy orders: 143not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 7 724.01 ₴listings: 5
MW costs more than FN: 8 183.20 ₴ versus 6 503.16 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 183.20 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 181.08 ₴
(you get 7 113.98 ₴)) · buy orders: 53Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 5 021.36 ₴
(you get 4 366.40 ₴)) · buy orders: 150Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 3 950.13 ₴ versus 2 652.49 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 950.13 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 949.14 ₴
(you get 3 434.03 ₴)) · buy orders: 46Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 2 798.73 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 2 923.36 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 862.08 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 138.25 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 2 726.12 ₴listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 2 339.92 ₴listings: 32
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 2 298.89 ₴
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 643.73 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 608.85 ₴
(you get 2 268.57 ₴)) · buy orders: 186
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 346.02 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 668.88 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 3 500.79 ₴listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 58 997.81 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 60 201.85 ₴listings 9 · you get 58 997.81 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 47 396.23 ₴
(you get 41 214.11 ₴)) · buy orders: 708Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 60 201.85 ₴listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 50 278.24 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 51 304.33 ₴listings 7 · you get 50 278.24 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 68 153.04 ₴ versus 51 304.33 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 68 153.04 ₴listings: 7
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 36 289.22 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 37 029.82 ₴listings 5 · you get 36 289.22 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 37 029.82 ₴listings: 5
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 018.48 ₴sell now to a buy order: 22 714.64 ₴
(you get 19 751.86 ₴)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 984.24 ₴sell now to a buy order: 19 488.30 ₴
(you get 16 946.34 ₴)) · buy orders: 254
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 368.25 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 23 430.10 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 18 330.89 ₴listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 21 445.94 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 20 506.80 ₴listings: 33
BS costs more than WW: 25 291.68 ₴ versus 16 622.00 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 25 291.68 ₴sell now to a buy order: 24 958.29 ₴
(you get 21 702.86 ₴)) · buy orders: 212Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 19 864.34 ₴listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 19 912.05 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 20 448.64 ₴listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 9 488.02 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 9 681.66 ₴listings 6 · you get 9 488.02 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 53 568.29 ₴ versus 9 681.66 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 56 355.54 ₴
(you get 49 004.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 223Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shown
MW costs more than FN: 41 934.29 ₴ versus 33 243.48 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 41 934.29 ₴sell now to a buy order: 41 162.25 ₴
(you get 35 793.26 ₴)) · buy orders: 439Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 32 006.49 ₴listings: 4Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 23 828.59 ₴
(you get 20 720.50 ₴)) · buy orders: 86Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 35 286.91 ₴listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 17 403.99 ₴no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 18 319.99 ₴listings 3 · you get 17 403.99 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 24 770.59 ₴ versus 18 319.99 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWsell now to a buy order: 13 719.23 ₴
(you get 11 929.76 ₴)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 590.78 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 24 770.59 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 15 091.94 ₴ versus 12 292.05 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 091.94 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 669.86 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 16 085.38 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 12 721.90 ₴listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 14 299.87 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 13 886.87 ₴listings: 38
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 106.14 ₴sell now to a buy order: 15 929.81 ₴
(you get 13 852.00 ₴)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 105.28 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 15 466.31 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 13 857.78 ₴listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 14 042.71 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 14 553.40 ₴listings: 13
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0418 780.24 → 19 512.67 ₴
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.001 806.22 → 1 805.86 ₴
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.071 919.66 → 2 055.19 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−12 749.34 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−12 100.58 ₴historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.