StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405180 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 13.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 12.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈11≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 167.42 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 101.30 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 506.93 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 517.28 $listings 6 · you get 506.93 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 590.00 $ versus 517.28 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 707.91 $
(you get 615.58 $)) · buy orders: 288
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 487.23 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 497.17 $listings 3 · you get 487.23 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 538.60 $ versus 497.17 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 319.72 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 326.25 $listings 4 · you get 319.72 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 347.02 $ versus 326.25 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 204.11 $
(you get 177.48 $)) · buy orders: 118
BS costs more than WW: 185.41 $ versus 170.10 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 185.41 $sell now to a buy order: 182.98 $
(you get 159.11 $)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $The Chroma 2 Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $The Chroma 2 Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 411.43 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 419.83 $listings 5 · you get 411.43 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 476.28 $ versus 419.83 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 470.08 $
(you get 408.76 $)) · buy orders: 345
MW costs more than FN: 311.55 $ versus 234.65 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 311.55 $sell now to a buy order: 305.81 $
(you get 265.92 $)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
MW costs more than FN: 180.11 $ versus 143.13 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 180.11 $sell now to a buy order: 180.06 $
(you get 156.57 $)) · buy orders: 53
BS costs more than MW: 86.94 $ versus 58.38 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.94 $sell now to a buy order: 86.92 $
(you get 75.58 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 298.50 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 325.00 $listings 9 · you get 1 298.50 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 043.16 $
(you get 907.09 $)) · buy orders: 708
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 106.59 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 129.17 $listings 7 · you get 1 106.59 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 500.00 $ versus 1 129.17 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 798.70 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 815.00 $listings 5 · you get 798.70 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 208.82 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 213.09 $listings 6 · you get 208.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 179.00 $ versus 213.09 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 240.35 $
(you get 1 078.56 $)) · buy orders: 223
MW costs more than FN: 922.94 $ versus 731.67 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 922.94 $sell now to a buy order: 905.95 $
(you get 787.78 $)) · buy orders: 439
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 383.05 $The Chroma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 403.21 $listings 3 · you get 383.05 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 545.18 $ versus 403.21 $ — calculated at the price of MWsell now to a buy order: 301.95 $
(you get 262.57 $)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.48 $sell now to a buy order: 350.60 $
(you get 304.87 $)) · buy orders: 69
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0247.61 → 48.58 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.04178.92 → 186.94 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.03137.78 → 141.80 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−246.78 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−237.19 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
17 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409088
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −219.43$
· invest 343.85$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3409099
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −219.43$
· invest 343.85$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407416
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −220.78$
· invest 348.45$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407434
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −220.78$
· invest 348.45$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407417
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −221.00$
· invest 348.45$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3407435
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −221.00$
· invest 348.45$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409177
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −221.24$
· invest 349.73$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3409178
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −225.31$
· invest 349.73$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.366583 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.628916 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3409189
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −225.31$
· invest 349.73$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.366583 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.628916 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3409336
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −233.31$
· invest 349.77$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405191
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −233.43$
· invest 364.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405181
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −238.34$
· invest 364.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.971354 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405192
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −238.34$
· invest 364.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.971354 instead of 1.000000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3405927
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −241.25$
· invest 372.12$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3405938
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −241.25$
· invest 372.12$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.