The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33 596.45₴

Invest at least 41 460.29₴

Average return 7 863.84₴

ROI −81.0%

Chance of profit 1%

With float: invest at least 41 460.29 ₴, profit at most −33 596.45 ₴

float premium: at least 22 208 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −11 191.07 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

2 163.12 ₴

at 2 163.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) — 16 370.26 ₴ +14 207.15 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.2527

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

7 634.35 ₴

at 2 544.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 30 427.34 ₴ +27 882.56 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1157

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

9 043.67 ₴

at 9 043.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 24 320.23 ₴ +15 276.56 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 841.13 ₴ −10 977.29 (−58.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 7%
Losing outcome 86%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 322.97 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

10 556.88 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 235.41 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 195.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 144.37 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 837.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 194.02 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 139.81 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 505.46 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 548.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 966.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

4 141.33 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

23 502.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

22 589.20 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 823.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

9 575.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

7 835.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 602.29 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

19 075.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

16 702.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

10 661.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

9 172.66 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

6 295.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 434.74 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 998.81 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 503.16 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

5 604.40 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 639.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

2 798.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 683.99 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

61 197.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

51 304.33 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

45 355.17 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

43 908.07 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

23 984.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

33 754.43 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

9 681.66 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

33 243.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

30 884.23 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

28 676.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.472972

12 292.05 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30 643.56 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2 163.12 → 4 672.33 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 7 634.35 → 17 253.63 ₴

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 9 043.67 → 19 534.32 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.009729, 0.060810, 0.472972, 0.149999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 764.31 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 126.73 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3405193 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 977.29₴ · invest 18 841.13₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build