The Chroma 3 Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405293 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
251.41 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
502.83 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
BS costs more than WW: 834.18 $ versus 813.10 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 834.18 $sell now to a buy order: 818.82 $
(you get 712.02 $)) · buy orders: 164
WW costs more than FT: 644.84 $ versus 511.41 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 644.84 $sell now to a buy order: 636.32 $
(you get 553.32 $)) · buy orders: 101
WW costs more than FT: 101.76 $ versus 98.27 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 101.76 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 93.01 $
(you get 80.88 $)) · buy orders: 71
BS costs more than FT: 118.12 $ versus 110.71 $ — calculated at the price of FTnow 118.12 $ — cheaper than the month average 120.93 $sell now to a buy order: 116.93 $
(you get 101.68 $)) · buy orders: 123
WW costs more than FT: 90.05 $ versus 84.74 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 90.05 $sell now to a buy order: 90.02 $
(you get 78.28 $)) · buy orders: 99
WW costs more than FT: 62.12 $ versus 50.02 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.12 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 40.73 $The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 46.84 $ — cheaper than the month average 48.26 $sell now to a buy order: 48.72 $
(you get 42.37 $)) · buy orders: 127
WW costs more than FT: 47.63 $ versus 47.41 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 47.63 $sell now to a buy order: 47.01 $
(you get 40.88 $)) · buy orders: 51
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 85.61 $The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 10 a weekmonth average 98.45 $, sold 33 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 95.71 $
(you get 83.22 $)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than WW: 89.98 $ versus 76.04 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.98 $sell now to a buy order: 90.86 $
(you get 79.01 $)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 55.67 $The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 64.02 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 64.52 $
(you get 56.10 $)) · buy orders: 79
WW costs more than FT: 67.54 $ versus 66.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 67.54 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 69.91 $
(you get 60.79 $)) · buy orders: 89
BS costs more than FT: 109.46 $ versus 101.42 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 109.46 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 94.97 $
(you get 82.58 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 60.01 $The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 4 a weeknow 69.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.35 $sell now to a buy order: 69.16 $
(you get 60.14 $)) · buy orders: 113
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $sells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 138.16 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 140.98 $listings 3 · you get 138.16 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 120.00 $
(you get 104.35 $)) · buy orders: 86
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 133.95 $sells 8 a weeknow 154.04 $ — cheaper than the month average 176.18 $sell now to a buy order: 162.23 $
(you get 141.07 $)) · buy orders: 684
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 185.29 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the current 213.09 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 1 080.92 $
(you get 939.93 $)) · buy orders: 1488
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.48 $sell now to a buy order: 350.60 $
(you get 304.87 $)) · buy orders: 69
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.24251.41 → 311.85 $
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0173.79 → 74.84 $
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.02150.19 → 152.73 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−268.42 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−245.04 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.