StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405306 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
125.71 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
251.41 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
251.41 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
251.41 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
BS costs more than MW: 146.77 $ versus 133.01 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 146.77 $sell now to a buy order: 143.99 $
(you get 125.21 $)) · buy orders: 97
BS costs more than WW: 116.76 $ versus 89.26 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 116.76 $sell now to a buy order: 116.72 $
(you get 101.49 $)) · buy orders: 81
BS costs more than FT: 91.42 $ versus 79.08 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 91.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 88.25 $
(you get 76.74 $)) · buy orders: 146
BS costs more than FT: 171.52 $ versus 151.97 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.52 $sell now to a buy order: 169.26 $
(you get 147.18 $)) · buy orders: 60
BS costs more than WW: 148.44 $ versus 103.75 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.44 $sell now to a buy order: 128.41 $
(you get 111.66 $)) · buy orders: 73
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 506.93 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 517.28 $listings 6 · you get 506.93 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 590.00 $ versus 517.28 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 707.91 $
(you get 615.58 $)) · buy orders: 288
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 487.23 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 497.17 $listings 3 · you get 487.23 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 538.60 $ versus 497.17 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 319.72 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 326.25 $listings 4 · you get 319.72 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 347.02 $ versus 326.25 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 204.11 $
(you get 177.48 $)) · buy orders: 118
BS costs more than WW: 185.41 $ versus 170.10 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 185.41 $sell now to a buy order: 182.98 $
(you get 159.11 $)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $sells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 411.43 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 419.83 $listings 5 · you get 411.43 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 476.28 $ versus 419.83 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 470.08 $
(you get 408.76 $)) · buy orders: 345
MW costs more than FN: 311.55 $ versus 234.65 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 311.55 $sell now to a buy order: 305.81 $
(you get 265.92 $)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
MW costs more than FN: 180.11 $ versus 143.13 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 180.11 $sell now to a buy order: 180.06 $
(you get 156.57 $)) · buy orders: 53
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 50.76 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 86.94 $ versus 58.38 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.94 $sell now to a buy order: 86.92 $
(you get 75.58 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 298.50 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 325.00 $listings 9 · you get 1 298.50 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 043.16 $
(you get 907.09 $)) · buy orders: 708
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 106.59 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 129.17 $listings 7 · you get 1 106.59 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 500.00 $ versus 1 129.17 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 798.70 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 815.00 $listings 5 · you get 798.70 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 208.82 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 213.09 $listings 6 · you get 208.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 179.00 $ versus 213.09 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 240.35 $
(you get 1 078.56 $)) · buy orders: 223
MW costs more than FN: 922.94 $ versus 731.67 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 922.94 $sell now to a buy order: 905.95 $
(you get 787.78 $)) · buy orders: 439
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 383.05 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 403.21 $listings 3 · you get 383.05 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 545.18 $ versus 403.21 $ — calculated at the price of MWsell now to a buy order: 301.95 $
(you get 262.57 $)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.48 $sell now to a buy order: 350.60 $
(you get 304.87 $)) · buy orders: 69
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.24125.71 → 155.25 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.01293.63 → 297.04 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−295.46 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−284.66 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
19 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406598
· The Revolver Case Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −269.73$
· invest 391.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406604
· The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −269.73$
· invest 391.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406639
· The Spectrum Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −271.74$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406645
· The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −271.74$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3403531
· The Falchion Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −273.53$
· invest 395.38$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3403537
· The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −273.53$
· invest 395.38$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406653
· The Vanguard Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −273.64$
· invest 395.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406659
· The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −273.64$
· invest 395.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406640
· The Spectrum Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −275.81$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.990677 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406646
· The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −275.81$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.990677 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406488
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −282.69$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406496
· The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −282.69$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405299
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −283.06$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3406489
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −285.92$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406497
· The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −285.92$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405300
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −287.96$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.946240 instead of 1.000000; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.357518 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3405307
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −287.96$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested): float at most 0.357518 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.946240 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3404922
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −295.13$
· invest 431.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3404929
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −295.13$
· invest 431.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.