StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405569 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
125.71 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 98.38 $ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
95.22 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
119.28 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 13.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
125.71 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 98.38 $ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Battle-Scarred
any lot
135.22 $
at 135.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+2.79 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
59.64 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 12.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 98.38 $ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
59.64 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 35 of 35 · from 98.38 $ (float 0.2804) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Battle-Scarred
any lot
135.22 $
at 135.22
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+2.79 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 271.22 $sell now to a buy order: 271.18 $
(you get 235.80 $)) · buy orders: 416
sell on Market.CSGO: 266.25 $ to your card
cheapest lot 291.94 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 283.08 $listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 245.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 250.74 $listings: 12
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.28 $sell now to a buy order: 186.78 $
(you get 162.41 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.43 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.88 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 104.53 $sell now to a buy order: 103.16 $
(you get 89.71 $)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 254.02 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 104.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 114.56 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 106.56 $listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 180.21 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 193.76 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 55.87 $
(you get 48.59 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 340.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 182.20 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 75.01 $
(you get 65.22 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.79 $sell now to a buy order: 59.00 $
(you get 51.30 $)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.26 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 91.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 119.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 131.02 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 116.65 $listings: 35
now 517.28 $ — cheaper than the month average 579.51 $sell now to a buy order: 448.86 $
(you get 390.31 $)) · buy orders: 879
sell on Market.CSGO: 441.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 484.47 · lots 36price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 381.54 $listings: 70
on CS.Money: ~ 403.17 $
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 497.17 $sell now to a buy order: 497.03 $
(you get 432.20 $)) · buy orders: 521
sell on Market.CSGO: 388.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 426.17 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 360.00 $listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 381.04 $
on Lis-Skins: from 371.21 $listings: 51
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 326.25 $sell now to a buy order: 320.98 $
(you get 279.11 $)) · buy orders: 423
sell on Market.CSGO: 283.24 $ to your card
cheapest lot 310.58 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 269.94 $listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 299.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 292.73 $listings: 16
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 170.10 $sell now to a buy order: 167.83 $
(you get 145.94 $)) · buy orders: 96not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $sells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
sell on Market.CSGO: 130.04 $ to your card
cheapest lot 142.59 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 124.85 $listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 127.12 $
on Lis-Skins: from 121.07 $listings: 51
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 166.54 $ to your card
cheapest lot 182.61 · lots 8CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 142.31 $
on Lis-Skins: from 167.74 $listings: 4
now 419.83 $ — cheaper than the month average 454.43 $sell now to a buy order: 358.13 $
(you get 311.41 $)) · buy orders: 568
sell on Market.CSGO: 302.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 331.69 · lots 32price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 288.00 $listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 301.27 $
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 367.61 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 275.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 301.91 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 264.99 $listings: 28
on CS.Money: ~ 287.77 $
on Lis-Skins: from 274.93 $listings: 44
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 234.65 $sell now to a buy order: 233.17 $
(you get 202.76 $)) · buy orders: 231
sell on Market.CSGO: 228.86 $ to your card
cheapest lot 250.94 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 209.64 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 220.22 $
on Lis-Skins: from 208.88 $listings: 28
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 138.16 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 140.98 $listings 3 · you get 138.16 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 120.00 $
(you get 104.35 $)) · buy orders: 86
sell on Market.CSGO: 153.97 $ to your card
cheapest lot 168.82 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 140.98 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 129.91 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 138.56 $sell now to a buy order: 138.53 $
(you get 120.46 $)) · buy orders: 175
sell on Market.CSGO: 112.33 $ to your card
cheapest lot 123.17 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 108.00 $listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 108.39 $
on Lis-Skins: from 108.49 $listings: 26
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 169.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 186.05 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 123.63 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 133.95 $sells 8 a weeknow 154.04 $ — cheaper than the month average 176.18 $sell now to a buy order: 162.23 $
(you get 141.07 $)) · buy orders: 684
sell on Market.CSGO: 142.32 $ to your card
cheapest lot 156.05 · lots 34price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 130.00 $listings: 49
on CS.Money: ~ 139.78 $
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.13 $sell now to a buy order: 140.42 $
(you get 122.10 $)) · buy orders: 204
sell on Market.CSGO: 134.69 $ to your card
cheapest lot 147.68 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 125.79 $listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 132.81 $
on Lis-Skins: from 125.80 $listings: 67
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 123.35 $sell now to a buy order: 121.73 $
(you get 105.86 $)) · buy orders: 221
sell on Market.CSGO: 107.63 $ to your card
cheapest lot 118.02 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 110.00 $listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 109.93 $
on Lis-Skins: from 105.41 $listings: 45
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 53.56 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
now 61.60 $ — cheaper than the month average 64.34 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 62.99 $ to your card
cheapest lot 69.07 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 60.00 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 51.50 $listings: 32
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 50.60 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 58.19 $sell now to a buy order: 57.42 $
(you get 49.93 $)) · buy orders: 186
sell on Market.CSGO: 73.64 $ to your card
cheapest lot 80.75 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 77.05 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 346.92 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 155.63 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 267.13 · lots 23price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 1 086.25 $listings: 140
on CS.Money: ~ 1 294.83 $
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 129.17 $sell now to a buy order: 1 114.39 $
(you get 969.04 $)) · buy orders: 1095
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 132.98 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 242.30 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 1 061.31 $listings: 34
on CS.Money: ~ 1 145.31 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 126.06 $listings: 37
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 998.24 $sell now to a buy order: 1 031.40 $
(you get 896.87 $)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 921.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 010.77 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 840.00 $listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 934.79 $
on Lis-Skins: from 934.46 $listings: 37
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 527.88 $sell now to a buy order: 428.92 $
(you get 372.98 $)) · buy orders: 254
sell on Market.CSGO: 470.30 $ to your card
cheapest lot 515.68 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 403.45 $listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 472.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 451.34 $listings: 33
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 437.20 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 438.25 $
on Lis-Skins: from 450.06 $listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 185.29 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the current 213.09 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 1 080.92 $
(you get 939.93 $)) · buy orders: 1488Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shownCS.Money: price does not match Steam and is not shown
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 731.67 $sell now to a buy order: 733.96 $
(you get 638.23 $)) · buy orders: 589
sell on Market.CSGO: 702.45 $ to your card
cheapest lot 770.23 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 666.00 $listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 737.53 $
on Lis-Skins: from 683.74 $listings: 39
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 679.74 $sell now to a buy order: 670.79 $
(you get 583.30 $)) · buy orders: 608
sell on Market.CSGO: 620.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 680.78 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 571.36 $listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 643.84 $
on Lis-Skins: from 590.46 $listings: 34
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 415.33 $
(you get 361.16 $)) · buy orders: 65not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 322.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 354.03 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 280.00 $listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 314.73 $
on Lis-Skins: from 305.64 $listings: 38
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.48 $sell now to a buy order: 350.60 $
(you get 304.87 $)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 310.45 $ to your card
cheapest lot 340.40 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 305.00 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 309.07 $
on Lis-Skins: from 320.31 $listings: 13
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.24125.71 → 155.25 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.0295.22 → 97.33 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.03119.28 → 122.86 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−230.75 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−216.43 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409176
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −205.30$
· invest 330.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3409187
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −205.30$
· invest 330.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3405558
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −211.30$
· invest 340.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405179
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −223.37$
· invest 352.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3405190
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −223.37$
· invest 352.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.