StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3405569 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
125.71 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 13.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
125.71 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 12.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis
Field-Tested
any lot
377.12 $
at 125.71
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) — 138.01 $+12.31 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.4500–0.9900
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 149.96 $sells 4 a weekmonth average 172.46 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 149.96 $
(you get 130.40 $)) · buy orders: 171
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 138.63 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 159.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 138.16 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 140.98 $listings 3 · you get 138.16 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 120.00 $
(you get 104.35 $)) · buy orders: 86
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 103.48 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 108.92 $listings 3 · you get 103.48 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 186.05 $ versus 108.92 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 144.28 $
(you get 125.46 $)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 133.95 $sells 8 a weeknow 154.04 $ — cheaper than the month average 176.18 $sell now to a buy order: 162.23 $
(you get 141.07 $)) · buy orders: 684
BS costs more than WW: 556.65 $ versus 365.84 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.65 $sell now to a buy order: 549.31 $
(you get 477.66 $)) · buy orders: 212
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 185.29 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the current 213.09 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 1 080.92 $
(you get 939.93 $)) · buy orders: 1488
BS costs more than WW: 332.16 $ versus 270.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 332.16 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.48 $sell now to a buy order: 350.60 $
(you get 304.87 $)) · buy orders: 69
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.24125.71 → 155.25 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.0295.22 → 97.33 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.03119.28 → 122.86 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−230.75 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−216.43 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409176
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −205.30$
· invest 330.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3409187
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −205.30$
· invest 330.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3405558
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −211.30$
· invest 340.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405179
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −223.37$
· invest 352.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
Craft 3405190
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −223.37$
· invest 352.28$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.