The Shadow Collection
+ The Danger Zone Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406101 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5455
98 000.50 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5455
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 33 743.44 ₸+6 854.78 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–0.5598
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.392157f′ (normalized) 0.784314wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 28 114.00 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1899
(16% of this wear's listings)
55 517.59 ₸
at 27 758.80
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 33 999.72 ₸+6 240.93 ₸ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2969
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.189944f′ (normalized) 0.379889wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 30 297.21 ₸ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs180 406.75 ₸
−125 840.00
(−69.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5606
196 001.00 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5606
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 33 999.72 ₸+6 240.93 ₸ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.3051
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.196271f′ (normalized) 0.392542wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 27 892.70 ₸ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs223 759.79 ₸
−185 080.06
(−82.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5050
147 000.75 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5050
BS costs more than MW: 40 482.31 ₸ versus 31 650.55 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 40 482.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 40 472.92 ₸
(you get 35 193.79 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 32 726.30 ₸ versus 29 884.19 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 32 726.30 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 32 379.36 ₸
(you get 28 155.96 ₸)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 36 138.33 ₸ versus 20 667.36 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 36 138.33 ₸no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 52 435.96 ₸ versus 43 542.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 52 435.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 52 418.19 ₸
(you get 45 581.01 ₸)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 24 605.69 ₸ versus 18 489.89 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 24 605.69 ₸sell now to a buy order: 24 605.07 ₸
(you get 21 395.66 ₸)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 31 208.96 ₸ versus 24 692.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 208.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 31 193.44 ₸
(you get 27 124.70 ₸)) · buy orders: 76
BS costs more than WW: 25 920.17 ₸ versus 23 635.22 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 25 920.17 ₸sell now to a buy order: 25 907.57 ₸
(you get 22 528.32 ₸)) · buy orders: 73
WW costs more than MW: 23 861.13 ₸ versus 18 613.45 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 861.13 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 20 543.41 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 33 508.75 ₸ versus 23 624.93 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 508.75 ₸sell now to a buy order: 33 499.36 ₸
(you get 29 129.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 87 067.36 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 106 419.68 ₸ versus 100 127.47 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 106 419.68 ₸sell now to a buy order: 105 034.00 ₸
(you get 91 333.90 ₸)) · buy orders: 49
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 108 972.66 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 136 609.81 ₸ versus 125 318.55 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 136 609.81 ₸sell now to a buy order: 136 572.08 ₸
(you get 118 758.29 ₸)) · buy orders: 93
WW costs more than FT: 70 289.51 ₸ versus 62 628.43 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 70 289.51 ₸sell now to a buy order: 70 262.57 ₸
(you get 61 097.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 48
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 115 117.59 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 132 907.70 ₸ versus 132 385.23 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 132 907.70 ₸sell now to a buy order: 130 764.19 ₸
(you get 113 707.95 ₸)) · buy orders: 76
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 61 072.17 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 74 946.68 ₸ versus 70 232.99 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 74 946.68 ₸sell now to a buy order: 74 920.02 ₸
(you get 65 147.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 69
MW costs more than FN: 90 273.90 ₸ versus 81 959.04 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 90 273.90 ₸sell now to a buy order: 90 250.67 ₸
(you get 78 478.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 124
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 40 067.32 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 46 077.44 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 42 073.04 ₸ versus 30 920.73 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 42 073.04 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 61 831.23 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 77 503.82 ₸ versus 71 105.93 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 77 503.82 ₸sell now to a buy order: 77 479.36 ₸
(you get 67 373.33 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 39 640.24 ₸ versus 28 836.73 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 39 640.24 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 67 479.40 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 83 788.73 ₸ versus 77 601.34 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 83 788.73 ₸no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 38 807.33 ₸ versus 30 479.82 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 807.33 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 28 073.17 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 29 550.75 ₸listings 5 · you get 28 073.17 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 26 703.24 ₸
(you get 23 220.18 ₸)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 362 229.77 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 416 564.26 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 378 578.58 ₸
(you get 329 198.72 ₸)) · buy orders: 740
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 148 797.65 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 151 834.34 ₸listings 3 · you get 148 797.65 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 185 608.04 ₸ versus 151 834.34 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 161 623.12 ₸
(you get 140 541.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 91 965.46 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 120 342.95 ₸ versus 105 760.28 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 120 342.95 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 187 378.28 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 191 202.38 ₸listings 13 · you get 187 378.28 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 199 189.14 ₸ versus 191 202.38 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 216 352.35 ₸
(you get 188 132.45 ₸)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 96 970.42 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 111 993.84 ₸ versus 111 515.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 111 993.84 ₸sell now to a buy order: 110 517.56 ₸
(you get 96 102.20 ₸)) · buy orders: 89
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 107 334.86 ₸
(you get 93 334.66 ₸)) · buy orders: 64
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)The Danger Zone Collectionsell now to a buy order: 174 784.68 ₸
(you get 151 986.64 ₸)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 94 599.82 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 129 205.52 ₸ versus 108 789.77 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 129 205.52 ₸sell now to a buy order: 127 241.93 ₸
(you get 110 645.11 ₸)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 68 466.23 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 107 126.10 ₸ versus 78 736.14 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 107 126.10 ₸sell now to a buy order: 107 091.63 ₸
(you get 93 123.15 ₸)) · buy orders: 79
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 100 605.22 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 127 511.03 ₸ versus 115 696.01 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 127 511.03 ₸sell now to a buy order: 125 833.02 ₸
(you get 109 419.99 ₸)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 33 793.66 ₸The Danger Zone Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 38 862.73 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 46 321.40 ₸sell now to a buy order: 38 471.08 ₸
(you get 33 453.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 230
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knifenet 125 980.37 ₸The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 144 877.43 ₸sell now to a buy order: 142 648.62 ₸
(you get 124 042.25 ₸)) · buy orders: 328
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 217% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2198 000.50 → 216 581.10 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) × 117% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1626 888.66 → 58 079.51 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 217% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2155 517.59 → 122 693.88 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−133 505.69 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−126 903.03 ₸historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.