The Shadow Collection
+ The Danger Zone Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406104 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
324.72 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
432.96 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
FT costs more than MW: 131.29 $ versus 129.69 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 131.29 $sell now to a buy order: 129.53 $
(you get 112.63 $)) · buy orders: 69
BS costs more than MW: 89.42 $ versus 69.91 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.42 $sell now to a buy order: 89.40 $
(you get 77.74 $)) · buy orders: 108
BS costs more than FT: 49.67 $ versus 45.65 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 49.67 $sell now to a buy order: 49.65 $
(you get 43.17 $)) · buy orders: 131
BS costs more than WW: 67.67 $ versus 48.63 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.67 $sell now to a buy order: 67.64 $
(you get 58.82 $)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than FT: 62.15 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.15 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 85.15 $ versus 54.55 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.15 $sell now to a buy order: 85.12 $
(you get 74.01 $)) · buy orders: 94
BS costs more than WW: 57.26 $ versus 52.21 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 57.26 $sell now to a buy order: 57.23 $
(you get 49.76 $)) · buy orders: 73
BS costs more than WW: 58.66 $ versus 50.16 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 58.66 $sell now to a buy order: 58.65 $
(you get 51.00 $)) · buy orders: 156
BS costs more than WW: 48.91 $ versus 45.61 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.91 $sell now to a buy order: 48.27 $
(you get 41.98 $)) · buy orders: 145
BS costs more than WW: 61.53 $ versus 59.62 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.53 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 50.67 $ versus 41.12 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 50.67 $sell now to a buy order: 49.38 $
(you get 42.94 $)) · buy orders: 142
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 43.96 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 50.55 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 53.71 $ versus 42.95 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 53.71 $sell now to a buy order: 53.01 $
(you get 46.09 $)) · buy orders: 140
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)net 544.64 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 555.76 $listings 3 · you get 544.64 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 567.00 $ versus 555.76 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 335.03 $
(you get 291.33 $)) · buy orders: 59
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 192.33 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 235.08 $ versus 221.18 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 235.08 $sell now to a buy order: 232.02 $
(you get 201.75 $)) · buy orders: 49
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 240.72 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 301.77 $ versus 276.82 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.77 $sell now to a buy order: 301.68 $
(you get 262.33 $)) · buy orders: 93
BS costs more than WW: 136.47 $ versus 125.63 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 136.47 $sell now to a buy order: 136.47 $
(you get 118.67 $)) · buy orders: 96
BS costs more than WW: 161.48 $ versus 140.39 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 161.48 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 129.42 $ versus 122.61 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 129.42 $sell now to a buy order: 129.38 $
(you get 112.50 $)) · buy orders: 74
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 134.91 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 155.49 $ versus 155.14 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 155.49 $sell now to a buy order: 155.44 $
(you get 135.17 $)) · buy orders: 50
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)net 253.68 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 258.86 $listings 4 · you get 253.68 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 435.89 $ versus 258.86 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 245.95 $
(you get 213.87 $)) · buy orders: 110
FT costs more than FN: 193.50 $ versus 181.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 193.50 $sell now to a buy order: 190.95 $
(you get 166.05 $)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 88.51 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 101.78 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 92.94 $ versus 68.30 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 92.94 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 136.58 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 171.20 $ versus 157.07 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.20 $sell now to a buy order: 171.15 $
(you get 148.82 $)) · buy orders: 108
BS costs more than FT: 65.45 $ versus 63.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 65.45 $sell now to a buy order: 64.91 $
(you get 56.44 $)) · buy orders: 65
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 63.96 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 67.33 $listings 6 · you get 63.96 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 79.48 $ versus 67.33 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 66.61 $
(you get 57.92 $)) · buy orders: 87
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 75.14 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 91.40 $ versus 86.41 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.40 $sell now to a buy order: 90.20 $
(you get 78.43 $)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than WW: 95.64 $ versus 75.99 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.64 $sell now to a buy order: 95.60 $
(you get 83.13 $)) · buy orders: 97
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 415.81 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
FT costs more than MW: 610.11 $ versus 478.19 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 610.11 $sell now to a buy order: 600.23 $
(you get 521.94 $)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 328.69 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 335.40 $listings 3 · you get 328.69 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 410.00 $ versus 335.40 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 357.02 $
(you get 310.45 $)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 203.15 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 265.83 $ versus 233.62 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 265.83 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 413.91 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 422.36 $listings 13 · you get 413.91 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 440.00 $ versus 422.36 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 477.91 $
(you get 415.58 $)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 186.60 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 214.59 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 231.11 $
(you get 200.96 $)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 151.24 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 222.54 $ versus 173.92 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 222.54 $sell now to a buy order: 222.48 $
(you get 193.46 $)) · buy orders: 93
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 211.90 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 258.82 $ versus 243.68 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 258.82 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 74.65 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 85.85 $ — cheaper than the month average 102.32 $sell now to a buy order: 84.98 $
(you get 73.90 $)) · buy orders: 230
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knifenet 278.29 $The Danger Zone Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 320.03 $sell now to a buy order: 315.10 $
(you get 274.00 $)) · buy orders: 328
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.08324.72 → 351.93 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.01118.79 → 120.44 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−357.98 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−345.49 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.