The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Shadow Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406107 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈5≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1917
(16% of this wear's listings)
14 807.52 ₽
at 4 935.84
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 6 045.55 ₽+1 109.71 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2992
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.191733f′ (normalized) 0.383467wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 4 959.65 ₽ · little data, days: 1
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5497
17 425.64 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5497
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1768
(5% of this wear's listings)
9 871.68 ₽
at 4 935.84
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 6 045.55 ₽+1 109.71 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2799
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.176848f′ (normalized) 0.353696wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 7 267.70 ₽ · little data, days: 1
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5142
26 138.46 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5142
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1629
(2% of this wear's listings)
4 935.84 ₽
at 4 935.84
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 6 045.55 ₽+1 109.71 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2618
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162969f′ (normalized) 0.325939wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 7 267.70 ₽ · little data, days: 1
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4810
34 851.28 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.4810
WW costs more than MW: 6 581.03 ₽ versus 5 627.84 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 581.03 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 494.57 ₽
(you get 5 647.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 96
WW costs more than FT: 11 427.83 ₽ versus 10 998.33 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 11 427.83 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 6 357.60 ₽
(you get 5 528.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 124
WW costs more than FT: 5 819.12 ₽ versus 5 313.76 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 5 819.12 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 5 757.43 ₽
(you get 5 006.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 6 425.82 ₽ versus 3 674.90 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 425.82 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 9 323.73 ₽ versus 7 742.43 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 323.73 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 320.57 ₽
(you get 8 104.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 4 375.18 ₽ versus 3 287.72 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 375.18 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 375.07 ₽
(you get 3 804.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 5 549.32 ₽ versus 4 390.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 549.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 546.56 ₽
(you get 4 823.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 76
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 4 663.34 ₽sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 5 362.84 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 8 093.18 ₽ versus 7 279.49 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 8 093.18 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 8 464.48 ₽
(you get 7 360.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 103
WW costs more than MW: 4 242.79 ₽ versus 3 309.69 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 242.79 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 5 958.25 ₽ versus 4 200.79 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 958.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 956.58 ₽
(you get 5 179.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 91
WW costs more than FT: 20 275.38 ₽ versus 17 803.84 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 20 275.38 ₽sell now to a buy order: 20 267.71 ₽
(you get 17 624.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 120
WW costs more than FT: 17 006.78 ₽ versus 16 299.19 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 17 006.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 17 001.95 ₽
(you get 14 784.30 ₽)) · buy orders: 64
WW costs more than FT: 12 498.30 ₽ versus 11 136.07 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 498.30 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 493.51 ₽
(you get 10 863.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 23 632.55 ₽ versus 23 539.65 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 632.55 ₽sell now to a buy order: 23 251.41 ₽
(you get 20 218.61 ₽)) · buy orders: 76
WW costs more than MW: 13 326.40 ₽ versus 12 488.25 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 326.40 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 321.66 ₽
(you get 11 584.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 69
MW costs more than FN: 16 051.76 ₽ versus 14 573.28 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 051.76 ₽sell now to a buy order: 16 047.63 ₽
(you get 13 954.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 124
WW costs more than MW: 8 897.36 ₽ versus 5 498.07 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 897.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 779.88 ₽
(you get 7 634.67 ₽)) · buy orders: 65
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 10 994.32 ₽sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 643.47 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 638.59 ₽
(you get 10 990.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
WW costs more than FT: 7 048.50 ₽ versus 5 127.51 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 048.50 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 14 898.62 ₽ versus 13 798.43 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 898.62 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 6 900.40 ₽ versus 5 419.67 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 900.40 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 4 991.74 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 5 254.47 ₽listings 5 · you get 4 991.74 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 4 748.15 ₽
(you get 4 128.82 ₽)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 64 408.71 ₽sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 74 070.02 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 67 315.72 ₽
(you get 58 535.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 740
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 16 352.54 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 29 212.00 ₽ versus 18 805.42 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 29 212.00 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 825.91 ₽
(you get 25 066.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 118
WW costs more than MW: 19 913.82 ₽ versus 19 828.85 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 19 913.82 ₽sell now to a buy order: 19 651.32 ₽
(you get 17 088.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 89
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 16 820.96 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 22 974.26 ₽ versus 19 344.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 974.26 ₽sell now to a buy order: 22 625.11 ₽
(you get 19 674.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 101
WW costs more than MW: 19 048.28 ₽ versus 14 000.21 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 19 048.28 ₽sell now to a buy order: 19 042.15 ₽
(you get 16 558.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
WW costs more than FT: 22 672.96 ₽ versus 20 572.11 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 672.96 ₽sell now to a buy order: 22 374.59 ₽
(you get 19 456.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 6 008.91 ₽sells 7 a weeknow 6 910.25 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 8 236.49 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 840.61 ₽
(you get 5 948.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 230
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 25 760.91 ₽sell now to a buy order: 25 364.60 ₽
(you get 22 056.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 328
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 318% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2614 807.52 → 33 465.00 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 218% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2117 425.64 → 38 510.66 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−24 221.78 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−22 676.40 ₽historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.