The Wildfire Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 600.71₴

Invest 13 853.40₴

Average return 6 252.69₴

ROI −54.9%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 30 686.78 ₴, profit at most −24 434.09 ₴

float premium: at least 16 289 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −7 646.82 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

2 163.12 ₴

at 2 163.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) — 16 370.26 ₴ +14 207.15 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.2531

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

7 634.35 ₴

at 2 544.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 30 427.34 ₴ +27 882.56 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1158

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

4 055.93 ₴

at 4 055.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 35 576.59 ₴ +31 520.65 ₴ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0500–0.0547

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 13 853.40 ₴ −7 600.71 (−54.9%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 89%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 322.97 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

10 556.88 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 235.41 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 195.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 144.37 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 837.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 194.02 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 139.81 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 505.46 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 548.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 966.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

4 141.33 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

5 777.04 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

5 934.22 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 035.68 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

2 877.47 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 972.47 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 402.55 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 745.25 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 430.44 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 716.40 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 868.13 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 903.98 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 934.38 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

25 250.97 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

20 882.89 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 959.94 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 400.96 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

17 490.87 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 812.89 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 516.56 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 860.83 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 619.50 ₴ 0.38%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 491.82 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 048.91 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 557.17 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

11 761.25 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

8 225.79 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 133.28 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 103.35 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 031.16 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 736.55 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 474.99 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 983.36 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 748.63 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 456.95 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 300.57 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 143.39 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

41 808.35 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

37 927.99 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 199.76 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

18 045.90 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

33 281.62 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 192.27 ₴ 0.38%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 589.41 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30 694.58 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16 341.13 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 902.33 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 824.18 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 448.56 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

3 900.45 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 544.78 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

11 946.49 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

14 540.58 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2 163.12 → 4 672.33 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 7 634.35 → 17 253.63 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 055.93 → 8 760.82 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 325.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 691.67 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3407698 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −7 516.08₴ · invest 16 005.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162140 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3407716 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 516.08₴ · invest 16 005.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162140 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3406154 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 600.71₴ · invest 13 853.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3404822 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 700.35₴ · invest 13 297.35₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3404830 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 700.35₴ · invest 13 297.35₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3408829 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −7 991.09₴ · invest 15 543.33₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161535 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074012 instead of 0.074172
Craft 3408837 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 991.09₴ · invest 15 543.33₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161535 instead of 0.161996; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074012 instead of 0.074172

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

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How to build