The Danger Zone Collection
+ The eSports 2013 Winter Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406181 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Well-Worn
buy0.3800–0.3893
(7% of this wear's listings)
59.40 $
at 59.40
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 74.54 $+15.14 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.4500–0.5561
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.389349f′ (normalized) 0.778698wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 14 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 62.10 $ · little data, days: 0
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1807
(8% of this wear's listings)
122.64 $
at 61.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 75.10 $+13.79 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2849
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.180718f′ (normalized) 0.361437wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 76.79 $ · little data, days: 1
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1700
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
246.47 $
at 123.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170034f′ (normalized) 0.566780wear 0.1500–0.3000on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs428.50 $
−228.66
(−53.4%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 7.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈4% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈8≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.2008
(25% of this wear's listings)
122.64 $
at 61.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 75.10 $+13.79 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.3111
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.200859f′ (normalized) 0.401719wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 8
on the market with this float, usually ~9,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 61.61 $ · little data, days: 1
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1831
(≈4% of this wear's listings)
369.70 $
at 123.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.183169f′ (normalized) 0.610565wear 0.1500–0.3000on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs492.34 $
−270.40
(−54.9%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1813
(8% of this wear's listings)
61.32 $
at 61.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 75.10 $+13.79 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy0.1500–0.2857
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.181333f′ (normalized) 0.362667wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 76.79 $ · little data, days: 1
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1704
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
492.94 $
at 123.23
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170435f′ (normalized) 0.568116wear 0.1500–0.3000on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
BS costs more than WW: 57.26 $ versus 52.21 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 57.26 $sell now to a buy order: 57.23 $
(you get 49.76 $)) · buy orders: 73
WW costs more than MW: 52.71 $ versus 41.12 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 52.71 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 45.38 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 74.02 $ versus 52.19 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.02 $sell now to a buy order: 74.00 $
(you get 64.35 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 192.33 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 235.08 $ versus 221.18 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 235.08 $sell now to a buy order: 232.02 $
(you get 201.75 $)) · buy orders: 49
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 240.72 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 301.77 $ versus 276.82 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.77 $sell now to a buy order: 301.68 $
(you get 262.33 $)) · buy orders: 93
WW costs more than FT: 155.27 $ versus 138.34 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 155.27 $sell now to a buy order: 155.21 $
(you get 134.96 $)) · buy orders: 48
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 254.29 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 293.59 $ versus 292.43 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 293.59 $sell now to a buy order: 288.85 $
(you get 251.18 $)) · buy orders: 76
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 134.91 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 165.55 $ versus 155.14 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 165.55 $sell now to a buy order: 165.50 $
(you get 143.91 $)) · buy orders: 69
MW costs more than FN: 199.41 $ versus 181.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 199.41 $sell now to a buy order: 199.36 $
(you get 173.36 $)) · buy orders: 124
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 88.51 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 101.78 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 92.94 $ versus 68.30 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 92.94 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 136.58 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 171.20 $ versus 157.07 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.20 $sell now to a buy order: 171.15 $
(you get 148.82 $)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 87.56 $ versus 63.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 87.56 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 149.06 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 185.09 $ versus 171.42 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 185.09 $no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 85.72 $ versus 67.33 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.72 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 62.01 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 65.28 $listings 5 · you get 62.01 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 58.99 $
(you get 51.29 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 800.15 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 920.17 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 836.26 $
(you get 727.19 $)) · buy orders: 740
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 328.69 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 335.40 $listings 3 · you get 328.69 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 410.00 $ versus 335.40 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 357.02 $
(you get 310.45 $)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 203.15 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 265.83 $ versus 233.62 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 265.83 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 413.91 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 422.36 $listings 13 · you get 413.91 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 440.00 $ versus 422.36 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 477.91 $
(you get 415.58 $)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 214.20 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 247.39 $ versus 246.33 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 247.39 $sell now to a buy order: 244.13 $
(you get 212.29 $)) · buy orders: 89
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 208.97 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 285.41 $ versus 240.31 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 285.41 $sell now to a buy order: 281.07 $
(you get 244.41 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 151.24 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 236.64 $ versus 173.92 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 236.64 $sell now to a buy order: 236.56 $
(you get 205.70 $)) · buy orders: 79
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 222.23 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 281.67 $ versus 255.57 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 281.67 $sell now to a buy order: 277.96 $
(you get 241.70 $)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 74.65 $sells 7 a weeknow 85.85 $ — cheaper than the month average 102.32 $sell now to a buy order: 84.98 $
(you get 73.90 $)) · buy orders: 230
MW costs more than FN: 447.15 $ versus 426.71 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 447.15 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 289.44 $ versus 258.38 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 289.44 $sell now to a buy order: 289.33 $
(you get 251.59 $)) · buy orders: 169
WW costs more than FT: 148.37 $ versus 134.17 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.37 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 252.94 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 266.25 $listings 3 · you get 252.94 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 158.44 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 166.78 $listings 3 · you get 158.44 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 173.87 $ versus 166.78 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 131.98 $
(you get 114.76 $)) · buy orders: 41
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 153.10 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 161.15 $listings 4 · you get 153.10 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 161.50 $ versus 161.15 $ — calculated at the price of MWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 237.57 $ versus 159.80 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 237.57 $sell now to a buy order: 233.19 $
(you get 202.77 $)) · buy orders: 99
WW costs more than FT: 117.71 $ versus 110.52 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 117.71 $sell now to a buy order: 115.53 $
(you get 100.46 $)) · buy orders: 44
WW costs more than FT: 149.05 $ versus 125.83 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 149.05 $sell now to a buy order: 149.00 $
(you get 129.57 $)) · buy orders: 47
WW costs more than FT: 127.15 $ versus 112.74 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 127.15 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 64.22 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 78.63 $ versus 73.86 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 78.63 $sell now to a buy order: 78.60 $
(you get 68.35 $)) · buy orders: 102
WW costs more than FT: 58.07 $ versus 51.20 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 58.07 $no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 64.46 $ versus 56.77 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 64.46 $sell now to a buy order: 64.44 $
(you get 56.03 $)) · buy orders: 82
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 90.76 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 119.24 $ versus 104.37 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 119.24 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 57.57 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 60.60 $listings 3 · you get 57.57 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 83.23 $ versus 60.60 $ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 51.94 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 53.00 $listings 3 · you get 51.94 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 50.38 $
(you get 43.81 $)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 547.42 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 579.00 $listings 36 · you get 1 547.42 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 885
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 801.08 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 843.24 $listings 4 · you get 801.08 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 927.75 $ versus 843.24 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 538.01 $ versus 440.78 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 538.01 $sell now to a buy order: 537.84 $
(you get 467.69 $)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 340.09 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 357.99 $listings 4 · you get 340.09 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 501.82 $ versus 357.99 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 492.48 $
(you get 428.24 $)) · buy orders: 75
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 448.83 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 457.99 $listings 3 · you get 448.83 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 461.20 $
(you get 401.04 $)) · buy orders: 106
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 322.98 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 339.98 $listings 4 · you get 322.98 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 500.78 $ versus 339.98 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 362.68 $
(you get 315.38 $)) · buy orders: 37
BS costs more than FT: 594.90 $ versus 444.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 594.90 $sell now to a buy order: 585.90 $
(you get 509.48 $)) · buy orders: 237
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 280.17 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 285.89 $listings 3 · you get 280.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 329.60 $
(you get 286.61 $)) · buy orders: 61
WW costs more than FT: 353.84 $ versus 291.23 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 353.84 $sell now to a buy order: 349.18 $
(you get 303.64 $)) · buy orders: 61
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Night (Well-Worn)net 313.23 $The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 329.71 $listings 4 · you get 313.23 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 472.07 $ versus 329.71 $ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 674.56 $sell now to a buy order: 666.23 $
(you get 579.33 $)) · buy orders: 294
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) × 113% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1659.40 → 128.30 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 213% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21122.64 → 271.03 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) × 213% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21246.47 → 544.69 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−251.26 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−232.14 $historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.