The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 667.70₴

Invest 16 188.47₴

Average return 8 520.77₴

ROI −47.4%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest 16 399.89 ₴, profit −7 879.11 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −10 525.62 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈65

×4

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

13 648.09 ₴

at 3 412.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 3 447.57 ₴ +35.55 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

2 540.38 ₴

at 2 540.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 2 617.40 ₴ +77.02 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 188.47 ₴ −7 667.70 (−47.4%)

What you get 58 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 79%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

69 930.47 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

27 247.93 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

36 943.68 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

25 680.25 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

23 235.96 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

13 179.56 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

4 465.02 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

5 212.34 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

5 030.19 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 343.31 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 407.47 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

5 221.05 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

2 272.81 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 053.83 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

2 714.36 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 128.12 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 154.04 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 201.93 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

3 340.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

4 473.24 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

3 454.89 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 908.61 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 030.55 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

13 094.96 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

4 608.01 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

5 218.21 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 135.63 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 084.06 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 947.40 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

5 912.23 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

6 135.39 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 979.22 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 419.89 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 722.54 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 400.96 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

8 562.24 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

6 499.56 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 624.15 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 491.77 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 385.83 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

16 723.34 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

12 982.41 ₴ 0.71%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

10 176.25 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

5 857.43 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

5 069.87 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

5 770.96 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

31 251.67 ₴ 0.71%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

23 631.65 ₴ 0.71%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

17 725.61 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

8 745.44 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

6 686.46 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

9 944.65 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 977.69 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

2 798.83 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 759.87 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 913.80 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 13 648.09 → 13 884.20 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×0.99 2 540.38 → 2 515.99 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.999999900

outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 674.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 831.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3406255 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 538.26₴ · invest 15 203.49₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406257 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −7 538.26₴ · invest 15 203.49₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406277 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 545.94₴ · invest 16 523.09₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406279 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −7 545.94₴ · invest 16 523.09₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406250 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 601.81₴ · invest 15 567.75₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406253 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −7 601.81₴ · invest 15 567.75₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406211 · The Fever Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 667.70₴ · invest 16 188.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3406215 · The Fracture Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 797.40₴ · invest 15 829.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406217 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −7 797.40₴ · invest 15 829.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406006 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −7 906.38₴ · invest 16 346.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406009 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 906.38₴ · invest 16 346.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406281 · The Prisma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 978.75₴ · invest 16 955.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406283 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −7 978.75₴ · invest 16 955.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406219 · The Gallery Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −8 173.46₴ · invest 15 838.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406221 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −8 173.46₴ · invest 15 838.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3406243 · The Horizon Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −8 261.56₴ · invest 16 701.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406246 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −8 261.56₴ · invest 16 701.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 58 outcomes

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How to build