The Wildfire Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406368 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
2 163.12 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 3 921.27 ₴ versus 3 867.68 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 921.27 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 9 650.90 ₴ versus 8 748.01 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 650.90 ₴sell now to a buy order: 9 648.02 ₴
(you get 8 389.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 6 132.84 ₴ versus 5 293.13 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 132.84 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 2 214.96 ₴ versus 2 060.87 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 214.96 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 188.20 ₴
(you get 1 902.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 4 317.06 ₴ versus 2 993.14 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 317.06 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 258.39 ₴
(you get 3 702.95 ₴)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 3 601.16 ₴sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 141.33 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 077.82 ₴
(you get 3 545.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 187
BS costs more than WW: 37 901.19 ₴ versus 36 943.68 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 37 901.19 ₴sell now to a buy order: 37 203.45 ₴
(you get 32 350.83 ₴)) · buy orders: 164
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Field-Tested)net 3 882.63 ₴The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 14 a weekmonth average 4 465.02 ₴, sold 41 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 349.44 ₴
(you get 3 782.12 ₴)) · buy orders: 189
BS costs more than FT: 5 366.92 ₴ versus 5 030.19 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTnow 5 366.92 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 5 494.44 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 312.82 ₴
(you get 4 619.84 ₴)) · buy orders: 123
BS costs more than MW: 3 398.84 ₴ versus 3 343.31 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWnow 3 398.84 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 3 498.65 ₴no buy orders
month average 3 850.34 ₴, sold 37 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 3 433.37 ₴
(you get 2 985.53 ₴)) · buy orders: 131
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 3 889.77 ₴The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 10 a weekmonth average 4 473.24 ₴, sold 33 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 348.42 ₴
(you get 3 781.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than WW: 4 088.15 ₴ versus 3 454.89 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 088.15 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 128.18 ₴
(you get 3 589.71 ₴)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 2 529.22 ₴The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 2 908.61 ₴, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 931.33 ₴
(you get 2 548.98 ₴)) · buy orders: 79
month average 3 030.55 ₴, sold 50 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 787.39 ₴
(you get 2 423.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 191
WW costs more than FT: 5 271.49 ₴ versus 4 608.01 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 5 271.49 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 4 660.73 ₴
(you get 4 052.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)net 2 539.32 ₴The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 15 a weeknow 2 920.22 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 3 076.76 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 877.92 ₴
(you get 2 502.54 ₴)) · buy orders: 232
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.022 163.12 → 2 207.24 ₴
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×0.912 539.43 → 2 301.99 ₴
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.013 352.88 → 3 400.16 ₴
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.003 391.67 → 3 384.89 ₴
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.023 412.02 → 3 469.69 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−8 568.18 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−7 826.60 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406365
· The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 586.20₴
· invest 14 859.12₴
sale unreliableno outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.288748 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn): float at most 0.422227 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested): float at most 0.288748 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.781788 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406366
· The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 589.87₴
· invest 14 859.12₴
sale unreliableno outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.317834 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn): float at most 0.431080 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested): float at most 0.317834 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.851343 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406367
· The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 600.21₴
· invest 14 859.12₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.341241 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn): float at most 0.438203 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested): float at most 0.341241 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.907316 instead of 1.000000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.