StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406527 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Battle-Scarred
any lot
42.25 $
at 42.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 208.05 $+165.80 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+6.49 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 13 · good ≈ 13Lis-Skins: suitable 81 of 81 · from 52.98 $ (float 0.4002) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
220.22 $
at 73.41
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 54.66 $ (float 0.6835) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Falchion Collectionsell now to a buy order: 315.43 $
(you get 274.29 $)) · buy orders: 58Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 226.36 $sell now to a buy order: 226.27 $
(you get 196.76 $)) · buy orders: 112
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.20 $ to your card
cheapest lot 253.51 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 241.63 $listings: 5
BS costs more than MW: 146.77 $ versus 133.01 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 146.77 $sell now to a buy order: 143.99 $
(you get 125.21 $)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 164.46 $ to your card
cheapest lot 180.33 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 142.79 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 147.49 $listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 116.76 $ versus 89.26 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 116.76 $sell now to a buy order: 116.72 $
(you get 101.49 $)) · buy orders: 81Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 163.67 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 190.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 208.71 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 180.00 $listings: 7Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 60.10 $sell now to a buy order: 59.32 $
(you get 51.58 $)) · buy orders: 99
sell on Market.CSGO: 79.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 87.67 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 91.42 $ versus 79.08 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 91.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 88.25 $
(you get 76.74 $)) · buy orders: 146Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 74.69 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 77.15 $listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 171.52 $ versus 151.97 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.52 $sell now to a buy order: 169.26 $
(you get 147.18 $)) · buy orders: 60not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 148.44 $ versus 103.75 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.44 $sell now to a buy order: 128.41 $
(you get 111.66 $)) · buy orders: 73
sell on Market.CSGO: 129.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 141.54 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 103.11 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 65.65 $no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.52 $sell now to a buy order: 74.49 $
(you get 64.78 $)) · buy orders: 99
sell on Market.CSGO: 89.25 $ to your card
cheapest lot 97.86 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 77.59 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80.15 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 80.03 $sell now to a buy order: 78.98 $
(you get 68.68 $)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.91 $sell now to a buy order: 146.96 $
(you get 127.79 $)) · buy orders: 255
sell on Market.CSGO: 152.98 $ to your card
cheapest lot 167.74 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 132.04 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 147.15 $
on Lis-Skins: from 144.91 $listings: 22
MW costs more than FN: 354.62 $ versus 261.14 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 354.62 $sell now to a buy order: 349.95 $
(you get 304.31 $)) · buy orders: 133not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 224.55 $ versus 216.13 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 224.55 $sell now to a buy order: 220.31 $
(you get 191.57 $)) · buy orders: 218
sell on Market.CSGO: 243.25 $ to your card
cheapest lot 266.72 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 108.01 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 124.21 $sell now to a buy order: 124.17 $
(you get 107.98 $)) · buy orders: 56
sell on Market.CSGO: 130.29 $ to your card
cheapest lot 142.86 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 137.13 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 144.69 $listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 105.58 $ versus 103.98 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 105.58 $sell now to a buy order: 105.53 $
(you get 91.77 $)) · buy orders: 67
sell on Market.CSGO: 177.55 $ to your card
cheapest lot 194.69 · lots 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 163.53 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 266.32 $ versus 188.06 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 266.32 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 220.00 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 147.25 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.38 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 85.36 $ versus 45.59 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.36 $sell now to a buy order: 85.33 $
(you get 74.20 $)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shownCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 121.32 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 139.52 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 97.13 $
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 99.26 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 129.70 $ versus 114.15 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 129.70 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 66.43 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 69.93 $listings 3 · you get 66.43 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 99.37 $ versus 69.93 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 53.38 $
(you get 46.42 $)) · buy orders: 114
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.63 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.37 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 71.64 $sell now to a buy order: 71.61 $
(you get 62.27 $)) · buy orders: 87Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 84.01 $ versus 78.26 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 84.01 $sell now to a buy order: 83.98 $
(you get 73.03 $)) · buy orders: 210not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 140.65 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 150.50 $ to your card
cheapest lot 165.03 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 138.93 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 139.90 $listings: 23
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0742.25 → 45.23 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0168.10 → 68.96 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.00220.22 → 221.32 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.890000000
outcomes come out up to 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000, 0.071200, 0.232500, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.890000, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.718600, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−246.57 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−237.00 $historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
13 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406571
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −233.81$
· invest 351.60$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3406681
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −253.43$
· invest 375.29$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406687
· The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −253.43$
· invest 375.29$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.