The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −241.06$

Invest 349.83$

Average return 108.77$

ROI −68.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 778.36 $, profit at most −669.59 $

float premium: at least 419 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 23.1% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −246.14 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1856

73.91 $

at 73.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) — 108.07 $ +34.16 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1856

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0824

48.59 $

at 48.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) — 1 100.22 $ +1 051.62 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1059

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

227.32 $

at 75.77

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 349.83 $ −241.06 (−68.9%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 23.1% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

73.91 $

at 73.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) — 108.07 $ +34.16 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1733

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

288.06 $

at 144.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 201.59 $ +57.56 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0781

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

151.55 $

at 75.77

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 513.52 $ −407.23 (−79.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 77%
Above the Steam cap 23%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

261.14 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

301.32 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

82.07 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

45.59 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

best

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

335.40 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

146.35 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

106.70 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

86.96 $ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

130.40 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife

no wear

140.65 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

301.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

283.20 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.34 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

77.09 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

82.24 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

104.03 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

85.33 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

82.08 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

102.69 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

148.91 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 73.91 → 159.65 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 48.59 → 104.96 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 3 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 227.32 → 513.75 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −253.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −243.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3403621 · The Huntsman Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −234.58$ · invest 377.67$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.082416; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.004854 instead of 0.010864
Craft 3403626 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −234.58$ · invest 377.67$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.082416; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.004854 instead of 0.010864
Craft 3406528 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −241.06$ · invest 349.83$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build