StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406659 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
293.63 $
at 73.41
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
220.22 $
at 73.41
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
146.82 $
at 73.41
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
The gain is understated:6 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈5≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
73.41 $
at 73.41
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 74.59 $+1.18 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 115.66 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than MW: 146.77 $ versus 133.01 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 146.77 $sell now to a buy order: 143.99 $
(you get 125.21 $)) · buy orders: 97
BS costs more than WW: 116.76 $ versus 89.26 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 116.76 $sell now to a buy order: 116.72 $
(you get 101.49 $)) · buy orders: 81
BS costs more than FT: 91.42 $ versus 79.08 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 91.42 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 88.25 $
(you get 76.74 $)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 132.15 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 171.52 $ versus 151.97 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.52 $sell now to a buy order: 169.26 $
(you get 147.18 $)) · buy orders: 60
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 90.22 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 148.44 $ versus 103.75 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 148.44 $sell now to a buy order: 128.41 $
(you get 111.66 $)) · buy orders: 73
BS costs more than MW: 289.44 $ versus 258.38 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 289.44 $sell now to a buy order: 289.33 $
(you get 251.59 $)) · buy orders: 169
BS costs more than FT: 143.88 $ versus 140.35 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.88 $sell now to a buy order: 141.97 $
(you get 123.46 $)) · buy orders: 124
BS costs more than FT: 141.16 $ versus 134.17 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 141.16 $sell now to a buy order: 139.30 $
(you get 121.13 $)) · buy orders: 74
BS costs more than WW: 176.53 $ versus 132.73 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 176.53 $sell now to a buy order: 176.48 $
(you get 153.46 $)) · buy orders: 182
BS costs more than WW: 122.96 $ versus 117.58 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 122.96 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 173.66 $ versus 166.78 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 173.66 $sell now to a buy order: 171.37 $
(you get 149.02 $)) · buy orders: 103
FT costs more than MW: 301.11 $ versus 225.84 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.11 $sell now to a buy order: 301.02 $
(you get 261.76 $)) · buy orders: 87
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 153.10 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 161.15 $listings 4 · you get 153.10 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 161.50 $ versus 161.15 $ — calculated at the price of MWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 237.57 $ versus 159.80 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 237.57 $sell now to a buy order: 233.19 $
(you get 202.77 $)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 93.38 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 95.29 $listings 3 · you get 93.38 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 134.90 $ versus 95.29 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 86.36 $
(you get 75.09 $)) · buy orders: 88
BS costs more than FT: 123.68 $ versus 110.52 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 123.68 $sell now to a buy order: 122.05 $
(you get 106.13 $)) · buy orders: 88
BS costs more than WW: 193.05 $ versus 174.75 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 193.05 $sell now to a buy order: 190.49 $
(you get 165.65 $)) · buy orders: 70
BS costs more than FT: 138.81 $ versus 125.83 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 138.81 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 103.95 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 106.07 $listings 5 · you get 103.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 111.78 $
(you get 97.20 $)) · buy orders: 55
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 96.32 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 101.39 $listings 6 · you get 96.32 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 120.28 $ versus 101.39 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 123.86 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 126.39 $listings 3 · you get 123.86 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 64.22 $The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 78.63 $ versus 73.86 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 78.63 $sell now to a buy order: 78.60 $
(you get 68.35 $)) · buy orders: 102
BS costs more than FT: 60.81 $ versus 51.20 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 60.81 $sell now to a buy order: 60.00 $
(you get 52.18 $)) · buy orders: 103
BS costs more than FT: 65.16 $ versus 56.77 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 65.16 $sell now to a buy order: 65.15 $
(you get 56.66 $)) · buy orders: 93
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 52.70 $The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 62.05 $ versus 60.60 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.05 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 81.95 $ versus 60.73 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 81.95 $sell now to a buy order: 80.88 $
(you get 70.33 $)) · buy orders: 113
FT costs more than MW: 1 027.91 $ versus 997.26 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 027.91 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 801.08 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 843.24 $listings 4 · you get 801.08 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 927.75 $ versus 843.24 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 538.01 $ versus 440.78 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 538.01 $sell now to a buy order: 537.84 $
(you get 467.69 $)) · buy orders: 84
BS costs more than WW: 693.10 $ versus 684.61 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 693.10 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 403.75 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 425.00 $listings 8 · you get 403.75 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 459.27 $ versus 425.00 $ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 435.09 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 457.99 $listings 3 · you get 435.09 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 481.94 $ versus 457.99 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 259.97 $
(you get 226.06 $)) · buy orders: 141
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 058.40 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 080.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 058.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 976.86 $
(you get 849.44 $)) · buy orders: 137
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 322.98 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 339.98 $listings 4 · you get 322.98 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 500.78 $ versus 339.98 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 362.68 $
(you get 315.38 $)) · buy orders: 37
BS costs more than FT: 594.90 $ versus 444.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 594.90 $sell now to a buy order: 585.90 $
(you get 509.48 $)) · buy orders: 237
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 271.60 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 285.89 $listings 4 · you get 271.60 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 344.10 $ versus 285.89 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 259.97 $
(you get 226.06 $)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 356.16 $ versus 291.23 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 356.16 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 378.40 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 386.12 $listings 3 · you get 378.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 434.25 $ versus 386.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 322.38 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 328.96 $listings 3 · you get 322.38 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 263.40 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 268.78 $listings 4 · you get 263.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 286.36 $ versus 268.78 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 329.15 $
(you get 286.22 $)) · buy orders: 121
BS costs more than FT: 327.24 $ versus 291.97 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 327.24 $no buy orders
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 674.56 $sell now to a buy order: 666.23 $
(you get 579.33 $)) · buy orders: 294
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.01293.63 → 297.04 $
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.02101.87 → 103.88 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−286.55 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−275.47 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
19 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406598
· The Revolver Case Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −269.73$
· invest 391.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406604
· The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −269.73$
· invest 391.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406639
· The Spectrum Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −271.74$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406645
· The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −271.74$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3403531
· The Falchion Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −273.53$
· invest 395.38$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3403537
· The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −273.53$
· invest 395.38$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406653
· The Vanguard Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −273.64$
· invest 395.50$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3406640
· The Spectrum Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −275.81$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.990677 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406646
· The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −275.81$
· invest 405.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.990677 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406488
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −282.69$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406496
· The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −282.69$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405299
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −283.06$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3405306
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −283.06$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)
Craft 3406489
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −285.92$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3406497
· The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −285.92$
· invest 415.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405300
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −287.96$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.946240 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3405307
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −287.96$
· invest 419.34$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.946240 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3404922
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −295.13$
· invest 431.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3404929
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −295.13$
· invest 431.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.