StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406667 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
3 832.30 ₽
at 3 832.30
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+13 295.54 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 3 257.67 ₽ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
14 402.55 ₽
at 4 800.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+12 326.99 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 399.90 ₽ (float 0.6835) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs24 143.85 ₽
−17 168.24
(−71.1%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
3 832.30 ₽
at 3 832.30
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+13 295.54 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 3 257.67 ₽ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
9 601.70 ₽
at 4 800.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+12 326.99 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 399.90 ₽ (float 0.6835) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs25 252.00 ₽
−18 167.64
(−72.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
3 832.30 ₽
at 3 832.30
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+13 295.54 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 3 257.67 ₽ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
4 800.85 ₽
at 4 800.85
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+12 326.99 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 399.90 ₽ (float 0.6835) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs26 360.15 ₽
−19 167.05
(−72.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
3 832.30 ₽
at 3 832.30
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 17 127.84 ₽+13 295.54 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 3 257.67 ₽ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
23 636.00 ₽
at 5 909.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 399.90 ₽ (float 0.6835) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 21 612.04 ₽sell now to a buy order: 21 328.36 ₽
(you get 18 546.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 28 898.00 ₽listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 236.44 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 034.74 ₽
(you get 13 073.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 16 549.23 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 18 146.09 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 17 296.94 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 414.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 304.07 ₽
(you get 7 220.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 648.15 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 20 447.54 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 6 947.15 ₽ versus 6 852.20 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 947.15 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 410.45 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 221.99 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 8 577.64 ₽listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 17 098.08 ₽ versus 15 498.47 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 17 098.08 ₽sell now to a buy order: 17 092.97 ₽
(you get 14 863.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 14 506.15 ₽listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 15 596.87 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 565.09 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 5 143.68 ₽listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 4 497.63 ₽
(you get 3 910.98 ₽)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 10 865.29 ₽ versus 9 377.60 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 865.29 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 27 368.58 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 14 666.34 ₽Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 6 037.69 ₽
(you get 5 250.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 812.52 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 749.05 ₽
(you get 4 129.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 3 924.15 ₽ versus 3 651.16 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 924.15 ₽sell now to a buy order: 3 876.74 ₽
(you get 3 371.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 7 648.35 ₽ versus 5 302.81 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 648.35 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 544.41 ₽
(you get 6 560.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 286.88 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 990.00 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 7 325.12 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 6 380.01 ₽sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 337.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 224.50 ₽
(you get 6 282.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 618.29 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 10 546.38 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 9 389.84 ₽listings: 35
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Falchion Collectionsell now to a buy order: 25 390.73 ₽
(you get 22 078.89 ₽)) · buy orders: 58Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 18 221.09 ₽sell now to a buy order: 18 213.99 ₽
(you get 15 838.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 112
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 610.45 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 20 406.20 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 19 450.21 ₽listings: 5
BS costs more than MW: 11 814.45 ₽ versus 10 706.96 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 814.45 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 590.56 ₽
(you get 10 078.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 238.50 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 515.91 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 11 494.00 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 11 872.33 ₽listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 9 398.60 ₽ versus 7 185.45 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 398.60 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 395.36 ₽
(you get 8 169.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 81Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 174.84 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 321.59 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 799.99 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 14 489.25 ₽listings: 7Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 838.08 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 775.18 ₽
(you get 4 152.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 99
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 436.10 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 057.13 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 7 358.88 ₽ versus 6 365.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 7 358.88 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 7 103.75 ₽
(you get 6 177.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 146Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 6 012.23 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 6 210.25 ₽listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 13 806.65 ₽ versus 12 232.73 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 806.65 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 624.45 ₽
(you get 11 847.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 60not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 11 948.66 ₽ versus 8 351.37 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 948.66 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 336.16 ₽
(you get 8 987.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 73
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 390.67 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 393.28 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 8 299.93 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 284.35 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 998.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 996.24 ₽
(you get 5 214.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 99
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 184.47 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 877.71 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 6 245.67 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 6 451.74 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 442.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 357.60 ₽
(you get 5 528.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 987.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 829.36 ₽
(you get 10 286.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 255
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 314.11 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 502.32 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 10 628.67 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 11 844.96 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 11 664.65 ₽listings: 22
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.023 832.30 → 3 910.48 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0414 402.55 → 15 047.78 ₽
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.005 909.00 → 5 908.41 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.918750000
outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−18 115.86 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−17 464.09 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409305
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −15 861.06₽
· invest 25 234.85₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409313
· The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −15 861.06₽
· invest 25 234.85₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409352
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −16 329.22₽
· invest 25 703.01₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3409087
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −17 336.13₽
· invest 27 678.78₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409098
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −17 336.13₽
· invest 27 678.78₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.