StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406839 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈9≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
59.64 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 9 · good ≈ 9Lis-Skins: suitable 43 of 43 · from 39.02 $ (float 0.5260) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs274.99 $
−139.13
(−50.6%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
119.28 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 9 · good ≈ 9Lis-Skins: suitable 43 of 43 · from 39.02 $ (float 0.5260) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs278.71 $
−159.71
(−57.3%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
178.92 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 9 · good ≈ 9Lis-Skins: suitable 43 of 43 · from 39.02 $ (float 0.5260) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 268.49 $sell now to a buy order: 264.96 $
(you get 230.40 $)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 359.00 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.28 $sell now to a buy order: 186.78 $
(you get 162.41 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.43 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.88 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 90.90 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 104.53 $sell now to a buy order: 103.16 $
(you get 89.71 $)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 254.02 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 104.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 114.56 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 106.56 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 167.42 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 180.21 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 193.76 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 55.87 $
(you get 48.59 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 101.30 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 340.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 182.20 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 75.01 $
(you get 65.22 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.79 $sell now to a buy order: 59.00 $
(you get 51.30 $)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.26 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 91.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 119.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 131.02 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 116.65 $listings: 35
MW costs more than FN: 304.63 $ versus 218.94 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 304.63 $sell now to a buy order: 300.13 $
(you get 260.98 $)) · buy orders: 100not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 255.00 $listings: 6
MW costs more than FN: 172.54 $ versus 130.12 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 172.54 $sell now to a buy order: 172.53 $
(you get 150.02 $)) · buy orders: 76Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 189.00 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 151.08 $ versus 135.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 151.08 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 75.19 $ versus 65.57 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 75.19 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 46.31 $The Fever Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 53.26 $ — cheaper than the month average 57.31 $sell now to a buy order: 53.30 $
(you get 46.35 $)) · buy orders: 204
sell on Market.CSGO: 53.02 $ to your card
cheapest lot 58.14 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 47.11 $listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 46.98 $
on Lis-Skins: from 45.53 $listings: 47
BS costs more than WW: 78.96 $ versus 59.92 $ — calculated at the price of WWmonth average 78.96 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 78.85 $
(you get 68.56 $)) · buy orders: 66
sell on Market.CSGO: 80.63 $ to your card
cheapest lot 88.41 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 90.02 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 206.91 $sell now to a buy order: 204.32 $
(you get 177.67 $)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 382.47 $ to your card
cheapest lot 419.38 · lots 3price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 282.00 $listings: 8
MW costs more than FN: 189.07 $ versus 188.45 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.07 $sell now to a buy order: 186.59 $
(you get 162.25 $)) · buy orders: 82not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.05 $sell now to a buy order: 142.80 $
(you get 124.18 $)) · buy orders: 82Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 147.29 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 47.69 $The Fever Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 54.84 $ — cheaper than the month average 60.72 $sell now to a buy order: 54.81 $
(you get 47.66 $)) · buy orders: 130not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 51.43 $listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 52.58 $
on Lis-Skins: from 50.93 $listings: 40
BS costs more than WW: 84.09 $ versus 74.52 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 84.09 $sell now to a buy order: 81.72 $
(you get 71.06 $)) · buy orders: 58
sell on Market.CSGO: 83.85 $ to your card
cheapest lot 91.94 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 83.89 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 77.52 $
on Lis-Skins: from 81.43 $listings: 8
MW costs more than FN: 594.90 $ versus 368.07 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 594.90 $sell now to a buy order: 471.89 $
(you get 410.34 $)) · buy orders: 222
sell on Market.CSGO: 640.38 $ to your card
cheapest lot 702.17 · lots 3price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 650.00 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 248.46 $The Fever Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 285.73 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 255.60 $ versus 223.97 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 255.60 $sell now to a buy order: 252.24 $
(you get 219.34 $)) · buy orders: 64Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 184.92 $ versus 128.92 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 184.92 $sell now to a buy order: 184.88 $
(you get 160.77 $)) · buy orders: 103Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 97.03 $The Fever Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 111.58 $ — cheaper than the month average 112.37 $sell now to a buy order: 96.86 $
(you get 84.22 $)) · buy orders: 119
sell on Market.CSGO: 83.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 91.93 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 89.81 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 86.51 $
on Lis-Skins: from 82.71 $listings: 50
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 110.45 $The Fever Collectionsells 2 a weeknow 127.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 133.07 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 117.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 129.27 · lots 9CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 108.66 $
on Lis-Skins: from 115.45 $listings: 12
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 674.07 $The Fever Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 687.83 $listings 9 · you get 674.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 745.37 $ versus 687.83 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 745.37 $listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 509.71 $The Fever Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 520.12 $listings 6 · you get 509.71 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 530.70 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 440.01 $
(you get 382.61 $)) · buy orders: 101
sell on Market.CSGO: 558.09 $ to your card
cheapest lot 611.94 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 530.70 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 561.27 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 393.76 $ versus 390.13 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 393.76 $sell now to a buy order: 388.74 $
(you get 338.04 $)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 451.58 $ to your card
cheapest lot 495.15 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 384.02 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 192.48 $sell now to a buy order: 189.96 $
(you get 165.18 $)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 238.91 $ to your card
cheapest lot 261.96 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 239.85 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 127.97 $The Fever Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 147.16 $ — cheaper than the month average 167.31 $sell now to a buy order: 141.97 $
(you get 123.46 $)) · buy orders: 117
sell on Market.CSGO: 128.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 141.20 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 118.99 $listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 127.65 $
on Lis-Skins: from 125.81 $listings: 34
BS costs more than WW: 221.71 $ versus 218.87 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 221.71 $sell now to a buy order: 221.65 $
(you get 192.74 $)) · buy orders: 153
sell on Market.CSGO: 194.85 $ to your card
cheapest lot 213.65 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 208.85 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 188.55 $
on Lis-Skins: from 223.67 $listings: 5
now 65.54 $ — cheaper than the month average 76.05 $sell now to a buy order: 66.17 $
(you get 57.54 $)) · buy orders: 222
sell on Market.CSGO: 58.19 $ to your card
cheapest lot 63.80 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 57.80 $listings: 17
on CS.Money: ~ 60.80 $
on Lis-Skins: from 57.93 $listings: 52
Steam★ StatTrak™ Survival Knifenet 53.57 $The Fever Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 61.60 $ — cheaper than the month average 71.43 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 55.47 $ to your card
cheapest lot 60.82 · lots 35
on CSFloat: from 50.37 $listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 56.57 $
on Lis-Skins: from 53.42 $listings: 55
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knifenet 129.37 $The Fever Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 148.78 $ — cheaper than the month average 162.82 $sell now to a buy order: 140.98 $
(you get 122.59 $)) · buy orders: 216
sell on Market.CSGO: 121.23 $ to your card
cheapest lot 132.93 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 119.70 $listings: 20
on CS.Money: ~ 129.56 $
on Lis-Skins: from 114.17 $listings: 44
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knifenet 208.87 $The Fever Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 240.20 $ — cheaper than the month average 279.63 $sell now to a buy order: 240.68 $
(you get 209.29 $)) · buy orders: 298
sell on Market.CSGO: 213.78 $ to your card
cheapest lot 234.41 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 203.33 $listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 236.56 $
on Lis-Skins: from 216.00 $listings: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0247.61 → 48.58 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0259.64 → 60.75 $
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.00167.74 → 167.38 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−159.97 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−142.81 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406838
· The Wildfire Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −138.82$
· invest 274.99$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370650 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.632276 instead of 0.640000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.977642 instead of 1.000000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.