StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406839 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈9≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
2 163.12 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
2 163.12 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
2 163.12 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 3 921.27 ₴ versus 3 867.68 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 921.27 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 9 650.90 ₴ versus 8 748.01 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 650.90 ₴sell now to a buy order: 9 648.02 ₴
(you get 8 389.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 6 132.84 ₴ versus 5 293.13 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 132.84 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 2 214.96 ₴ versus 2 060.87 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 214.96 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 188.20 ₴
(you get 1 902.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 4 317.06 ₴ versus 2 993.14 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 317.06 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 258.39 ₴
(you get 3 702.95 ₴)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 3 601.16 ₴sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 141.33 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 077.82 ₴
(you get 3 545.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 187
MW costs more than FN: 13 841.18 ₴ versus 9 947.40 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 841.18 ₴sell now to a buy order: 13 636.31 ₴
(you get 11 857.66 ₴)) · buy orders: 100
MW costs more than FN: 7 839.63 ₴ versus 5 912.23 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 839.63 ₴sell now to a buy order: 7 838.76 ₴
(you get 6 816.31 ₴)) · buy orders: 76
MW costs more than FN: 6 864.42 ₴ versus 6 135.39 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 864.42 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 3 416.23 ₴ versus 2 979.22 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 416.23 ₴no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 3 587.67 ₴ versus 2 722.54 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWmonth average 3 587.67 ₴, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 3 582.40 ₴
(you get 3 115.12 ₴)) · buy orders: 66
MW costs more than FN: 8 590.54 ₴ versus 8 562.24 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 590.54 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 477.62 ₴
(you get 7 371.84 ₴)) · buy orders: 82
BS costs more than WW: 3 820.78 ₴ versus 3 385.83 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 820.78 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 713.12 ₴
(you get 3 228.80 ₴)) · buy orders: 58
MW costs more than FN: 27 029.43 ₴ versus 16 723.34 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 27 029.43 ₴sell now to a buy order: 21 440.49 ₴
(you get 18 643.90 ₴)) · buy orders: 222
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 11 289.05 ₴The Fever Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 12 982.41 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 11 613.34 ₴ versus 10 176.25 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 613.34 ₴sell now to a buy order: 11 460.84 ₴
(you get 9 965.94 ₴)) · buy orders: 64
BS costs more than WW: 8 401.70 ₴ versus 5 857.43 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 401.70 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 400.30 ₴
(you get 7 304.61 ₴)) · buy orders: 103
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 30 626.63 ₴The Fever Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 31 251.67 ₴listings 9 · you get 30 626.63 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 33 866.15 ₴ versus 31 251.67 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 23 159.01 ₴The Fever Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 23 631.65 ₴listings 6 · you get 23 159.01 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 24 112.55 ₴ versus 23 631.65 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 19 991.86 ₴
(you get 17 384.22 ₴)) · buy orders: 101
MW costs more than FN: 17 890.79 ₴ versus 17 725.61 ₴ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 17 890.79 ₴sell now to a buy order: 17 662.77 ₴
(you get 15 358.92 ₴)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 10 073.48 ₴ versus 9 944.65 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 073.48 ₴sell now to a buy order: 10 070.70 ₴
(you get 8 757.13 ₴)) · buy orders: 153
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knifenet 9 490.26 ₴The Fever Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 10 913.80 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 12 705.30 ₴sell now to a buy order: 10 935.40 ₴
(you get 9 509.04 ₴)) · buy orders: 298
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.022 163.12 → 2 207.24 ₴
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.022 709.81 → 2 760.21 ₴
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.007 621.14 → 7 605.14 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−7 268.30 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−6 488.47 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406838
· The Wildfire Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −6 307.11₴
· invest 12 494.07₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370650 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.632276 instead of 0.640000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.977642 instead of 1.000000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.