StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406850 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈9≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Battle-Scarred
any lot
167.74 $
at 55.91
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈9≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Battle-Scarred
any lot
111.82 $
at 55.91
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Battle-Scarred
any lot
55.91 $
at 55.91
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) — 57.61 $+1.70 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
MW costs more than FN: 304.63 $ versus 218.94 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 304.63 $sell now to a buy order: 300.13 $
(you get 260.98 $)) · buy orders: 100
MW costs more than FN: 172.54 $ versus 130.12 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 172.54 $sell now to a buy order: 172.53 $
(you get 150.02 $)) · buy orders: 76
MW costs more than FN: 151.08 $ versus 135.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 151.08 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 75.19 $ versus 65.57 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 75.19 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 46.31 $sells 9 a weeknow 53.26 $ — cheaper than the month average 57.31 $sell now to a buy order: 53.30 $
(you get 46.35 $)) · buy orders: 204
BS costs more than WW: 78.96 $ versus 59.92 $ — calculated at the price of WWmonth average 78.96 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 78.85 $
(you get 68.56 $)) · buy orders: 66
MW costs more than FN: 189.07 $ versus 188.45 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.07 $sell now to a buy order: 186.59 $
(you get 162.25 $)) · buy orders: 82
Steam★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 47.69 $sells 7 a weeknow 54.84 $ — cheaper than the month average 60.72 $sell now to a buy order: 54.81 $
(you get 47.66 $)) · buy orders: 130
BS costs more than WW: 84.09 $ versus 74.52 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 84.09 $sell now to a buy order: 81.72 $
(you get 71.06 $)) · buy orders: 58
MW costs more than FN: 594.90 $ versus 368.07 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 594.90 $sell now to a buy order: 471.89 $
(you get 410.34 $)) · buy orders: 222
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 248.46 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 285.73 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 255.60 $ versus 223.97 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 255.60 $sell now to a buy order: 252.24 $
(you get 219.34 $)) · buy orders: 64
BS costs more than WW: 184.92 $ versus 128.92 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 184.92 $sell now to a buy order: 184.88 $
(you get 160.77 $)) · buy orders: 103
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 97.03 $sells 13 a weeknow 111.58 $ — cheaper than the month average 112.37 $sell now to a buy order: 96.86 $
(you get 84.22 $)) · buy orders: 119
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 674.07 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 687.83 $listings 9 · you get 674.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 745.37 $ versus 687.83 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 509.71 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 520.12 $listings 6 · you get 509.71 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 530.70 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 440.01 $
(you get 382.61 $)) · buy orders: 101
MW costs more than FN: 393.76 $ versus 390.13 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 393.76 $sell now to a buy order: 388.74 $
(you get 338.04 $)) · buy orders: 79
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 127.97 $sells 5 a weeknow 147.16 $ — cheaper than the month average 167.31 $sell now to a buy order: 141.97 $
(you get 123.46 $)) · buy orders: 117
BS costs more than WW: 221.71 $ versus 218.87 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 221.71 $sell now to a buy order: 221.65 $
(you get 192.74 $)) · buy orders: 153
Steam★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knifenet 129.37 $sells 8 a weeknow 148.78 $ — cheaper than the month average 162.82 $sell now to a buy order: 140.98 $
(you get 122.59 $)) · buy orders: 216
Steam★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knifenet 208.87 $sells 6 a weeknow 240.20 $ — cheaper than the month average 279.63 $sell now to a buy order: 240.68 $
(you get 209.29 $)) · buy orders: 298
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.00167.74 → 167.38 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0247.61 → 48.58 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0259.64 → 60.75 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−159.97 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−142.81 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406849
· The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −138.82$
· invest 274.99$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.977642 instead of 1.000000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.370650 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.632276 instead of 0.640000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.