The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −23 355.70₽

Invest 30 744.71₽

Average return 7 389.01₽

ROI −76.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 67 615.11 ₽, profit at most −60 226.10 ₽

float premium: at least 34 514 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 24.6% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9 016.96 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1170

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

15 113.80 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6 613.95 ₽

at 6 613.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 32 608.40 ₽ +25 994.45 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0612

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 30 744.71 ₽ −23 355.70 (−76.0%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

7 556.90 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

19 841.85 ₽

at 6 613.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 32 608.40 ₽ +25 994.45 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0649

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

16 715.75 ₽

at 16 715.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 32 608.40 ₽ +15 892.65 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 44 114.50 ₽ −35 609.53 (−80.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

15 113.80 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

19 841.85 ₽

at 6 613.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 32 608.40 ₽ +25 994.45 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0647

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 34 955.65 ₽ −26 822.66 (−76.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4 508.48 ₽

at 4 508.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 53 906.79 ₽ +49 398.31 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1202

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

15 113.80 ₽

at 7 556.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 91 806.54 ₽ +84 249.64 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

13 227.90 ₽

at 6 613.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 32 608.40 ₽ +25 994.45 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0629

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 32 850.18 ₽ −25 089.18 (−76.4%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 25%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

21 832.07 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

18 703.16 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 798.99 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

14 516.98 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

12 649.28 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 982.13 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 286.13 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 798.75 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

7 337.01 ₽ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

17 007.50 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

14 656.28 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 846.65 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 798.50 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

best

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 800.72 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 285.98 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 139.02 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

10 328.05 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 990.07 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 577.71 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 339.08 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 440.61 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

9 500.41 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 9 016.96 → 19 927.48 ₽

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 15 113.80 → 33 401.50 ₽

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 613.95 → 14 286.13 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −24 208.89 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −23 460.60 ₽ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3405183 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −22 812.01₽ · invest 36 752.20₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075485 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.004800 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3405194 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −22 812.01₽ · invest 36 752.20₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075485 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.004800 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3409090 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −22 871.05₽ · invest 33 908.12₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3409101 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −22 871.05₽ · invest 33 908.12₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3407171 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −23 355.70₽ · invest 30 744.71₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3409180 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −24 193.69₽ · invest 35 230.76₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3409191 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −24 193.69₽ · invest 35 230.76₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3408831 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −24 262.42₽ · invest 34 310.46₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086310 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.014271 instead of 0.004288
Craft 3408839 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −24 262.42₽ · invest 34 310.46₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086310 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.014271 instead of 0.004288

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build