StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3407329 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
216.48 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5270
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 140.38 $ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs582.23 $
−347.16
(−59.6%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
324.72 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5270
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 140.38 $ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs568.55 $
−389.21
(−68.5%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
432.96 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5270
BS costs more than MW: 89.42 $ versus 69.91 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.42 $sell now to a buy order: 89.40 $
(you get 77.74 $)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 72.29 $ versus 66.01 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 72.29 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 71.52 $
(you get 62.20 $)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 79.83 $ versus 45.65 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 79.83 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 83.64 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 115.83 $ versus 96.18 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 115.83 $sell now to a buy order: 115.79 $
(you get 100.69 $)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 54.35 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 54.35 $sell now to a buy order: 54.35 $
(you get 47.26 $)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 68.94 $ versus 54.55 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 68.94 $sell now to a buy order: 68.90 $
(you get 59.92 $)) · buy orders: 76
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 492.07 $The Gamma 2 Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 565.88 $sell now to a buy order: 558.42 $
(you get 485.58 $)) · buy orders: 561
FT costs more than FN: 170.39 $ versus 168.33 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 170.39 $sell now to a buy order: 166.68 $
(you get 144.94 $)) · buy orders: 130
WW costs more than MW: 203.36 $ versus 190.94 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 203.36 $sell now to a buy order: 203.26 $
(you get 176.74 $)) · buy orders: 34
FT costs more than MW: 161.96 $ versus 139.77 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 161.96 $sell now to a buy order: 161.91 $
(you get 140.79 $)) · buy orders: 87
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 207.04 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 173.42 $
(you get 150.80 $)) · buy orders: 289
FT costs more than MW: 76.97 $ versus 67.20 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 76.97 $no buy orders
month average 108.40 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 103.46 $
(you get 89.97 $)) · buy orders: 157
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 53.11 $The Gamma 2 Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 61.18 $ versus 61.08 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.18 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)net 50.77 $The Gamma 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
FT costs more than MW: 68.32 $ versus 58.39 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 68.32 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 1 641.94 $The Gamma 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 675.45 $listings 76 · you get 1 641.94 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 041.41 $
(you get 1 775.14 $)) · buy orders: 893
BS costs more than FT: 769.78 $ versus 681.21 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 769.78 $no buy orders
FT costs more than MW: 636.50 $ versus 599.40 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 636.50 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 514.92 $ versus 334.35 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 514.92 $sell now to a buy order: 514.78 $
(you get 447.63 $)) · buy orders: 93
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 385.79 $sell now to a buy order: 385.67 $
(you get 335.36 $)) · buy orders: 95
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 214% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21216.48 → 478.42 $
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) × 314% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.26365.75 → 826.60 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−374.35 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−352.01 $historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.