The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 075.23$

Invest at least 1 473.03$

Average return 397.80$

ROI −73.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 1 473.03 $, profit at most −1 075.23 $

float premium: at least 769 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −405.66 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

112.23 $

at 112.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) — 132.15 $ +19.92 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0700–0.1139

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

409.89 $

at 136.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 279.36 $ +142.73 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

140.87 $

at 140.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) — 254.03 $ +113.16 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1500–0.1688

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 662.98 $ −265.19 (−40.0%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

565.88 $ 2.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

233.68 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

348.14 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

208.76 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

760.00 $ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

168.33 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

430.52 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

161.67 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

421.75 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

176.25 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

179.63 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

207.04 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

67.32 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

236.06 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

84.17 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109.73 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

59.05 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

1 675.45 $ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

790.08 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1 013.33 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

999.24 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 787.00 $ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

773.23 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

1 586.84 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

462.56 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1 152.90 $ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

557.36 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

521.07 $ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

168.66 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.030588

175.34 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

99.86 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

69.91 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

149.87 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

73.85 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

52.18 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

118.04 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

89.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

66.41 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

57.73 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

54.55 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers

no wear

99.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 112.23 → 242.41 $

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) × 3 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 409.89 → 926.34 $

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 140.87 → 304.28 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.082352841

outcomes come out up to 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.030588, 0.082352, 0.082352, 0.082352, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −291.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −270.01 $ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3407615 · The Shadow Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −265.19$ · invest 662.98$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build