StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408020 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
119.26 $
at 39.75
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 208.05 $+168.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
79.51 $
at 39.75
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 208.05 $+168.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
any lot
39.75 $
at 39.75
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) — 208.05 $+168.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.4500–0.9000
FT costs more than MW: 224.55 $ versus 216.13 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 224.55 $sell now to a buy order: 220.31 $
(you get 191.57 $)) · buy orders: 218
BS costs more than FT: 105.58 $ versus 103.98 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 105.58 $sell now to a buy order: 105.53 $
(you get 91.77 $)) · buy orders: 67
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 163.53 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 266.32 $ versus 188.06 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 266.32 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 85.36 $ versus 45.59 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.36 $sell now to a buy order: 85.33 $
(you get 74.20 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 99.26 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 129.70 $ versus 114.15 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 129.70 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 66.43 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 69.93 $listings 3 · you get 66.43 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 99.37 $ versus 69.93 $ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 53.38 $
(you get 46.42 $)) · buy orders: 114
BS costs more than FT: 84.01 $ versus 78.26 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 84.01 $sell now to a buy order: 83.98 $
(you get 73.03 $)) · buy orders: 210
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.02119.26 → 122.03 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.0295.22 → 97.33 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.563214286
outcomes come out up to 0.045057, 0.150803, 0.563214, 0.563214, 0.563214, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.000000, 0.045057, 0.150803, 0.563214, 0.563214, 0.563214, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.476778, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−128.06 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−118.12 $historical median
5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408019
· The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −114.95$
· invest 214.48$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377831 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377831 instead of 0.380000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.