The Shadow Collection
+ The Operation Riptide Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408227 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8999
216.48 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.8999
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8999
324.72 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.8999
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.8999
432.96 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.8999
FT costs more than MW: 131.29 $ versus 129.69 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 131.29 $sell now to a buy order: 129.53 $
(you get 112.63 $)) · buy orders: 69
BS costs more than MW: 89.42 $ versus 69.91 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.42 $sell now to a buy order: 89.40 $
(you get 77.74 $)) · buy orders: 108
BS costs more than FT: 49.67 $ versus 45.65 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 49.67 $sell now to a buy order: 49.65 $
(you get 43.17 $)) · buy orders: 131
BS costs more than WW: 67.67 $ versus 48.63 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.67 $sell now to a buy order: 67.64 $
(you get 58.82 $)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than FT: 62.15 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.15 $no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 85.15 $ versus 54.55 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.15 $sell now to a buy order: 85.12 $
(you get 74.01 $)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 508.34 $The Operation Riptide Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 539.12 $listings 5 · you get 1 508.34 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 930.00 $ versus 1 539.12 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 993.33 $
(you get 1 733.33 $)) · buy orders: 65
BS costs more than WW: 834.18 $ versus 813.10 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 834.18 $sell now to a buy order: 818.82 $
(you get 712.02 $)) · buy orders: 164
WW costs more than FT: 644.84 $ versus 511.41 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 644.84 $sell now to a buy order: 636.32 $
(you get 553.32 $)) · buy orders: 101
MW costs more than FN: 411.97 $ versus 290.07 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 411.97 $sell now to a buy order: 406.53 $
(you get 353.51 $)) · buy orders: 160
WW costs more than FT: 101.76 $ versus 98.27 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 101.76 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 93.01 $
(you get 80.88 $)) · buy orders: 71
BS costs more than FT: 118.12 $ versus 110.71 $ — calculated at the price of FTnow 118.12 $ — cheaper than the month average 120.93 $sell now to a buy order: 116.93 $
(you get 101.68 $)) · buy orders: 123
WW costs more than FT: 90.05 $ versus 84.74 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 90.05 $sell now to a buy order: 90.02 $
(you get 78.28 $)) · buy orders: 99
MW costs more than FN: 193.35 $ versus 114.91 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 193.35 $sell now to a buy order: 192.47 $
(you get 167.37 $)) · buy orders: 121
WW costs more than FT: 62.12 $ versus 50.02 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.12 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 58.45 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 67.21 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.30 $sell now to a buy order: 68.20 $
(you get 59.30 $)) · buy orders: 121
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 51.95 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 59.74 $ — cheaper than the month average 66.22 $sell now to a buy order: 61.31 $
(you get 53.32 $)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 40.73 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 46.84 $ — cheaper than the month average 48.26 $sell now to a buy order: 48.72 $
(you get 42.37 $)) · buy orders: 127
WW costs more than FT: 47.63 $ versus 47.41 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 47.63 $sell now to a buy order: 47.01 $
(you get 40.88 $)) · buy orders: 51
MW costs more than FN: 389.10 $ versus 202.53 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 389.10 $sell now to a buy order: 383.96 $
(you get 333.88 $)) · buy orders: 157
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 85.61 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 10 a weekmonth average 98.45 $, sold 33 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 95.71 $
(you get 83.22 $)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than WW: 89.98 $ versus 76.04 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.98 $sell now to a buy order: 90.86 $
(you get 79.01 $)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 55.67 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 64.02 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 64.52 $
(you get 56.10 $)) · buy orders: 79
WW costs more than FT: 67.54 $ versus 66.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 67.54 $, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 69.91 $
(you get 60.79 $)) · buy orders: 89
BS costs more than FT: 109.46 $ versus 101.42 $ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 109.46 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 94.97 $
(you get 82.58 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 60.01 $The Operation Riptide Collectionsells 4 a weeknow 69.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.35 $sell now to a buy order: 69.16 $
(you get 60.14 $)) · buy orders: 113
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 45.87 $sell now to a buy order: 45.72 $
(you get 39.76 $)) · buy orders: 76
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 282% of the wear range fits×1.05216.48 → 227.67 $
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 382% of the wear range fits×1.06239.06 → 254.48 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−333.19 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−318.77 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408226
· The Shadow Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −315.29$
· invest 455.54$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 0.899999; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.937499 instead of 0.899999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.