StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408931 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
21 552.57 ₸
at 21 552.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 96 325.69 ₸+74 773.12 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
21 552.57 ₸
at 21 552.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 96 325.69 ₸+74 773.12 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
21 552.57 ₸
at 21 552.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 96 325.69 ₸+74 773.12 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
21 552.57 ₸
at 21 552.57
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 96 325.69 ₸+74 773.12 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 39 070.25 ₸ versus 38 536.26 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 39 070.25 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 96 158.32 ₸ versus 87 162.24 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 96 158.32 ₸sell now to a buy order: 96 129.59 ₸
(you get 83 590.93 ₸)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 61 105.58 ₸ versus 52 738.92 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 61 105.58 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 22 069.13 ₸ versus 20 533.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 069.13 ₸sell now to a buy order: 21 802.50 ₸
(you get 18 958.65 ₸)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 43 013.75 ₸ versus 29 822.61 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 013.75 ₸sell now to a buy order: 42 429.20 ₸
(you get 36 894.92 ₸)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 35 880.70 ₸sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 41 262.80 ₸sell now to a buy order: 40 630.05 ₸
(you get 35 330.45 ₸)) · buy orders: 187
FT costs more than MW: 59 434.65 ₸ versus 58 710.63 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 59 434.65 ₸sell now to a buy order: 58 636.62 ₸
(you get 50 988.36 ₸)) · buy orders: 69
BS costs more than MW: 40 482.31 ₸ versus 31 650.55 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 40 482.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 40 472.92 ₸
(you get 35 193.79 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
BS costs more than FT: 22 485.02 ₸ versus 20 667.36 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 485.02 ₸sell now to a buy order: 22 476.52 ₸
(you get 19 544.77 ₸)) · buy orders: 131
BS costs more than WW: 30 633.86 ₸ versus 22 012.66 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 30 633.86 ₸sell now to a buy order: 30 620.75 ₸
(you get 26 626.70 ₸)) · buy orders: 101
BS costs more than FT: 28 133.24 ₸ versus 18 489.89 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 133.24 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 38 546.50 ₸ versus 24 692.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 546.50 ₸sell now to a buy order: 38 531.87 ₸
(you get 33 505.94 ₸)) · buy orders: 94
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 44 816.05 ₸no buy orders
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0221 552.57 → 21 992.24 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0480 998.87 → 84 627.61 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0249 000.25 → 49 926.35 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.918750000
outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−120 531.80 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−116 820.01 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408939
· The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −115 215.96₸
· invest 151 551.68₸
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.