The Shadow Collection
+ The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408977 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6589
49 000.25 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.6589
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 87 708.77 ₸+45 708.40 ₸ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.237380f′ (normalized) 0.494045wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 43 304.22 ₸ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs217 001.74 ₸
−114 464.48
(−52.8%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6249
98 000.50 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.6249
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 87 708.77 ₸+45 708.40 ₸ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.223164f′ (normalized) 0.461738wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 43 304.22 ₸ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs224 001.62 ₸
−139 414.58
(−62.2%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5916
147 000.75 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5916
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 87 708.77 ₸+45 708.40 ₸ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4300
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.209237f′ (normalized) 0.430085wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 43 304.22 ₸ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs231 001.49 ₸
−164 364.73
(−71.2%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5590
196 001.00 ₸
at 49 000.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 92 826.09 ₸+43 825.84 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5590
BS costs more than MW: 40 482.31 ₸ versus 31 650.55 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 40 482.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 40 472.92 ₸
(you get 35 193.79 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 32 726.30 ₸ versus 29 884.19 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 32 726.30 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 32 379.36 ₸
(you get 28 155.96 ₸)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 36 138.33 ₸ versus 20 667.36 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 36 138.33 ₸no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 52 435.96 ₸ versus 43 542.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 52 435.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 52 418.19 ₸
(you get 45 581.01 ₸)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 24 605.69 ₸ versus 18 489.89 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 24 605.69 ₸sell now to a buy order: 24 605.07 ₸
(you get 21 395.66 ₸)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 31 208.96 ₸ versus 24 692.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 208.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 31 193.44 ₸
(you get 27 124.70 ₸)) · buy orders: 76
MW costs more than FN: 202 426.95 ₸ versus 193 174.13 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 202 426.95 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 131 028.35 ₸ versus 116 967.80 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 131 028.35 ₸sell now to a buy order: 130 982.12 ₸
(you get 113 897.48 ₸)) · buy orders: 169
WW costs more than FT: 67 167.55 ₸ versus 60 738.84 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 167.55 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 114 504.58 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 120 531.18 ₸listings 3 · you get 114 504.58 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 71 726.14 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 75 501.25 ₸listings 3 · you get 71 726.14 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 78 712.68 ₸ versus 75 501.25 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 59 746.50 ₸
(you get 51 953.43 ₸)) · buy orders: 41
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 69 306.67 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 72 954.40 ₸listings 4 · you get 69 306.67 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 73 111.03 ₸ versus 72 954.40 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 107 547.17 ₸ versus 72 343.36 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 107 547.17 ₸sell now to a buy order: 105 566.14 ₸
(you get 91 796.63 ₸)) · buy orders: 99
WW costs more than FT: 53 288.38 ₸ versus 50 032.91 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 53 288.38 ₸sell now to a buy order: 52 301.61 ₸
(you get 45 479.62 ₸)) · buy orders: 44
WW costs more than FT: 67 475.63 ₸ versus 56 964.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 475.63 ₸sell now to a buy order: 67 454.88 ₸
(you get 58 656.42 ₸)) · buy orders: 47
WW costs more than FT: 57 560.48 ₸ versus 51 039.32 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 57 560.48 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 29 074.01 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 35 594.05 ₸ versus 33 435.14 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 35 594.05 ₸sell now to a buy order: 35 582.35 ₸
(you get 30 941.15 ₸)) · buy orders: 102
WW costs more than FT: 26 290.61 ₸ versus 23 178.22 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 26 290.61 ₸no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 29 180.75 ₸ versus 25 700.16 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 29 180.75 ₸sell now to a buy order: 29 171.30 ₸
(you get 25 366.32 ₸)) · buy orders: 82
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 41 086.88 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 53 981.53 ₸ versus 47 249.91 ₸ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 53 981.53 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 26 063.13 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 27 434.91 ₸listings 3 · you get 26 063.13 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 37 680.30 ₸ versus 27 434.91 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 23 513.35 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 23 993.24 ₸listings 3 · you get 23 513.35 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 22 805.92 ₸
(you get 19 831.20 ₸)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 700 520.97 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 714 817.33 ₸listings 36 · you get 700 520.97 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 885
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 362 650.39 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 381 737.26 ₸listings 4 · you get 362 650.39 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 419 994.18 ₸ versus 381 737.26 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 243 557.70 ₸ versus 199 541.20 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 243 557.70 ₸sell now to a buy order: 243 481.27 ₸
(you get 211 722.79 ₸)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 153 959.79 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 162 062.97 ₸listings 4 · you get 153 959.79 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 227 173.12 ₸ versus 162 062.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 222 945.78 ₸
(you get 193 865.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 75
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 203 186.57 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 207 333.26 ₸listings 3 · you get 203 186.57 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 208 785.81 ₸
(you get 181 552.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 106
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 146 213.34 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 153 908.78 ₸listings 4 · you get 146 213.34 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 226 703.24 ₸ versus 153 908.78 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 164 187.57 ₸
(you get 142 771.78 ₸)) · buy orders: 37
BS costs more than FT: 269 312.12 ₸ versus 201 317.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 269 312.12 ₸sell now to a buy order: 265 238.10 ₸
(you get 230 641.79 ₸)) · buy orders: 237
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 126 834.64 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 129 423.11 ₸listings 3 · you get 126 834.64 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 149 211.62 ₸
(you get 129 749.19 ₸)) · buy orders: 61
WW costs more than FT: 160 183.40 ₸ versus 131 839.66 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 160 183.40 ₸sell now to a buy order: 158 075.55 ₸
(you get 137 456.95 ₸)) · buy orders: 61
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Night (Well-Worn)net 141 798.73 ₸The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 149 261.85 ₸listings 4 · you get 141 798.73 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 213 709.16 ₸ versus 149 261.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 305 373.41 ₸sell now to a buy order: 301 606.00 ₸
(you get 262 266.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 294
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 138% of the wear range fits×1.8649 000.25 → 90 959.16 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) × 438% of the wear range fits×2.33168 001.50 → 391 275.48 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−123 416.70 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−115 823.84 ₸historical median
4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408971
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −111 622.72₸
· invest 217 001.74₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested): float at most 0.203838 instead of 0.237380; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.578743 instead of 0.658952
Craft 3408976
· The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −111 622.72₸
· invest 217 001.74₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.578743 instead of 0.658952; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested): float at most 0.203838 instead of 0.237380
Craft 3408972
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −114 464.47₸
· invest 217 001.74₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.