The Shadow Collection
+ The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408977 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6589
8 712.82 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.6589
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 15 595.65 ₽+8 127.49 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.237380f′ (normalized) 0.494045wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 7 700.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs38 585.46 ₽
−20 353.13
(−52.8%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6249
17 425.64 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.6249
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 15 595.65 ₽+8 127.49 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.223164f′ (normalized) 0.461738wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 7 700.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs39 830.12 ₽
−24 789.55
(−62.2%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5916
26 138.46 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5916
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Well-Worn) — 15 595.65 ₽+8 127.49 ₽ per item · on the market 2 · buy0.3800–0.4300
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.209237f′ (normalized) 0.430085wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 7 700.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs41 074.78 ₽
−29 225.98
(−71.2%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5590
34 851.28 ₽
at 8 712.82
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 16 505.57 ₽+7 792.75 ₽ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–0.5590
BS costs more than MW: 7 198.23 ₽ versus 5 627.84 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 198.23 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 196.56 ₽
(you get 6 257.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 5 819.12 ₽ versus 5 313.76 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 5 819.12 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 5 757.43 ₽
(you get 5 006.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 6 425.82 ₽ versus 3 674.90 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 425.82 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 9 323.73 ₽ versus 7 742.43 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 323.73 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 320.57 ₽
(you get 8 104.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 4 375.18 ₽ versus 3 287.72 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 375.18 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 375.07 ₽
(you get 3 804.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 5 549.32 ₽ versus 4 390.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 549.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 546.56 ₽
(you get 4 823.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 76
MW costs more than FN: 35 993.89 ₽ versus 34 348.63 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 35 993.89 ₽no buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 23 298.38 ₽ versus 20 798.25 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 298.38 ₽sell now to a buy order: 23 290.16 ₽
(you get 20 252.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 169
WW costs more than FT: 11 943.18 ₽ versus 10 800.08 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 943.18 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 20 360.26 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 21 431.86 ₽listings 3 · you get 20 360.26 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 12 753.75 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 13 425.01 ₽listings 3 · you get 12 753.75 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 13 996.04 ₽ versus 13 425.01 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 10 623.63 ₽
(you get 9 237.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 41
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 12 323.54 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 12 972.15 ₽listings 4 · you get 12 323.54 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than MW: 13 000.00 ₽ versus 12 972.15 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 19 123.15 ₽ versus 12 863.50 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 19 123.15 ₽sell now to a buy order: 18 770.90 ₽
(you get 16 322.52 ₽)) · buy orders: 99
WW costs more than FT: 9 475.30 ₽ versus 8 896.44 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 475.30 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 299.84 ₽
(you get 8 086.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 44
WW costs more than FT: 11 997.96 ₽ versus 10 129.02 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 997.96 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 994.27 ₽
(you get 10 429.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 47
WW costs more than FT: 10 234.93 ₽ versus 9 075.39 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 234.93 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 5 169.70 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 6 329.04 ₽ versus 5 945.16 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 329.04 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 326.96 ₽
(you get 5 501.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 102
WW costs more than FT: 4 674.78 ₽ versus 4 121.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 674.78 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 5 188.68 ₽ versus 4 569.79 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 188.68 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 187.00 ₽
(you get 4 510.43 ₽)) · buy orders: 82
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 7 305.73 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 9 598.55 ₽ versus 8 401.59 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 598.55 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 4 634.33 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 4 878.25 ₽listings 3 · you get 4 634.33 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 6 700.00 ₽ versus 4 878.25 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 4 180.95 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 4 266.28 ₽listings 3 · you get 4 180.95 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 4 055.16 ₽
(you get 3 526.22 ₽)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 124 560.86 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 127 102.92 ₽listings 36 · you get 124 560.86 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 885
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 64 483.50 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 67 877.37 ₽listings 4 · you get 64 483.50 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 74 679.90 ₽ versus 67 877.37 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 43 307.42 ₽ versus 35 480.77 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 307.42 ₽sell now to a buy order: 43 293.83 ₽
(you get 37 646.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 84
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 27 375.86 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 28 816.70 ₽listings 4 · you get 27 375.86 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 40 394.05 ₽ versus 28 816.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 39 642.38 ₽
(you get 34 471.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 75
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 36 128.96 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 36 866.29 ₽listings 3 · you get 36 128.96 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 37 124.57 ₽
(you get 32 282.23 ₽)) · buy orders: 106
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 25 998.45 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 27 366.79 ₽listings 4 · you get 25 998.45 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 40 310.50 ₽ versus 27 366.79 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 29 194.48 ₽
(you get 25 386.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 37
BS costs more than FT: 47 886.86 ₽ versus 35 796.68 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 47 886.86 ₽sell now to a buy order: 47 162.45 ₽
(you get 41 010.82 ₽)) · buy orders: 237
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 22 552.69 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 23 012.95 ₽listings 3 · you get 22 552.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 26 531.58 ₽
(you get 23 070.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 61
WW costs more than FT: 28 482.49 ₽ versus 23 442.64 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 482.49 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 107.69 ₽
(you get 24 441.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 61
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Night (Well-Worn)net 25 213.48 ₽The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 26 540.51 ₽listings 4 · you get 25 213.48 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternWW costs more than FT: 38 000.00 ₽ versus 26 540.51 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTno buy orders
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 298.98 ₽sell now to a buy order: 53 629.09 ₽
(you get 46 633.99 ₽)) · buy orders: 294
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 138% of the wear range fits×1.868 712.82 → 16 173.61 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) × 438% of the wear range fits×2.3329 872.64 → 69 573.38 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−21 944.94 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−20 594.84 ₽historical median
4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408971
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −19 847.83₽
· invest 38 585.46₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested): float at most 0.203838 instead of 0.237380; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.578743 instead of 0.658952
Craft 3408976
· The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −19 847.83₽
· invest 38 585.46₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.578743 instead of 0.658952; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested): float at most 0.203838 instead of 0.237380
Craft 3408972
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −20 353.13₽
· invest 38 585.46₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.