The Wildfire Collection
+ The Spectrum 2 Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3409087 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 167.42 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 101.30 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 2 007.06 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 048.02 $listings 5 · you get 2 007.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 2 289.12 $ versus 2 048.02 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 178.00 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 240.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 178.00 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 886.30 $ versus 1 240.00 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 1 226.81 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 291.38 $listings 5 · you get 1 226.81 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 291.99 $ versus 1 291.38 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 618.74 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 631.37 $listings 3 · you get 618.74 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 521.93 $
(you get 453.85 $)) · buy orders: 31
MW costs more than FN: 252.80 $ versus 200.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 252.80 $no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 187.03 $ versus 180.20 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 187.03 $sell now to a buy order: 183.49 $
(you get 159.55 $)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 103.49 $ versus 80.62 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 103.49 $no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 113.78 $ versus 106.57 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 113.78 $no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 88.19 $ versus 68.48 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 88.19 $sell now to a buy order: 88.15 $
(you get 76.65 $)) · buy orders: 86
month average 62.59 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 56.29 $
(you get 48.95 $)) · buy orders: 212
BS costs more than FT: 70.58 $ versus 67.37 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 70.58 $sell now to a buy order: 69.66 $
(you get 60.57 $)) · buy orders: 105
MW costs more than FN: 404.98 $ versus 310.24 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 404.98 $no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 647.12 $ versus 223.61 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 647.12 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 224.95 $
(you get 195.61 $)) · buy orders: 143
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 171.72 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 180.75 $listings 4 · you get 171.72 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 225.38 $ versus 180.75 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 85.59 $ versus 70.92 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.59 $sell now to a buy order: 84.45 $
(you get 73.44 $)) · buy orders: 32
BS costs more than WW: 72.78 $ versus 71.45 $ — calculated at the price of WWnow 72.78 $ — cheaper than the month average 72.97 $sell now to a buy order: 61.72 $
(you get 53.67 $)) · buy orders: 158
BS costs more than WW: 107.78 $ versus 94.11 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 107.78 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 366.20 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 373.68 $listings 6 · you get 366.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 480.00 $ versus 373.68 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 359.90 $
(you get 312.95 $)) · buy orders: 180
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 220.92 $The Spectrum 2 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 232.54 $listings 3 · you get 220.92 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 510.81 $ versus 232.54 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 239.00 $
(you get 207.83 $)) · buy orders: 322
BS costs more than FT: 136.63 $ versus 83.96 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 136.63 $sell now to a buy order: 136.59 $
(you get 118.77 $)) · buy orders: 51
month average 74.56 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 61.10 $
(you get 53.13 $)) · buy orders: 131
month average 77.67 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 75.51 $
(you get 65.66 $)) · buy orders: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0247.61 → 48.58 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.04178.92 → 186.94 $
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×0.90117.32 → 105.59 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−227.51 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−219.37 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409305
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −197.04$
· invest 313.49$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409313
· The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −197.04$
· invest 313.49$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409352
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −202.86$
· invest 319.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409360
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −202.86$
· invest 319.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409011
· The Wildfire Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −208.02$
· invest 299.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409019
· The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −208.02$
· invest 299.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406667
· The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −213.28$
· invest 299.94$
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3406675
· The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −213.28$
· invest 299.94$
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3408830
· The Wildfire Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −214.19$
· invest 330.64$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3408838
· The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −214.19$
· invest 330.64$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409098
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −215.37$
· invest 343.85$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.