StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3409174 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
8 652.47 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 1 838.77 ₴ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
any lot
5 088.97 ₴
at 5 088.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 14 789.70 ₴+9 700.73 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 3 967.42 ₴ (float 0.2500) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs13 741.44 ₴
−7 842.27
(−57.1%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
6 489.35 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 1 838.77 ₴ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
any lot
10 177.95 ₴
at 5 088.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 14 789.70 ₴+9 700.73 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 3 967.42 ₴ (float 0.2500) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs16 667.30 ₴
−8 753.23
(−52.5%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
4 326.23 ₴
at 2 163.12
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 9 667.70 ₴+7 504.58 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 1 838.77 ₴ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
any lot
15 266.92 ₴
at 5 088.97
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 14 789.70 ₴+9 700.73 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.542857wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 3 967.42 ₴ (float 0.2500) · craft not before 02.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 322.97 ₴sell now to a buy order: 12 320.96 ₴
(you get 10 713.87 ₴)) · buy orders: 416
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 097.16 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 13 264.42 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 12 861.84 ₴listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 11 132.57 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 11 392.46 ₴listings: 12
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 600.11 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 486.26 ₴
(you get 7 379.36 ₴)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 341.11 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 10 242.44 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 9 763.15 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 749.44 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 687.18 ₴
(you get 4 075.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 525.83 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 11 541.48 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 3 921.27 ₴ versus 3 867.68 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 921.27 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 747.22 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 205.29 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 4 841.59 ₴listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 9 650.90 ₴ versus 8 748.01 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 650.90 ₴sell now to a buy order: 9 648.02 ₴
(you get 8 389.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 8 187.90 ₴listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 8 803.55 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 576.74 ₴no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 2 903.32 ₴listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 2 538.66 ₴
(you get 2 207.53 ₴)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 6 132.84 ₴ versus 5 293.13 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 132.84 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 15 448.02 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 8 278.32 ₴Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 3 407.94 ₴
(you get 2 963.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 716.40 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 680.57 ₴
(you get 2 330.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 2 214.96 ₴ versus 2 060.87 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 2 214.96 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 188.20 ₴
(you get 1 902.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 4 317.06 ₴ versus 2 993.14 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 317.06 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 258.39 ₴
(you get 3 702.95 ₴)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 113.03 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 509.90 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 4 134.62 ₴listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 3 601.16 ₴sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 141.33 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 077.82 ₴
(you get 3 545.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 428.98 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 952.84 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 5 300.04 ₴listings: 35
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 91 191.47 ₴The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 93 052.53 ₴listings 54 · you get 91 191.47 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 100 895.42 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 110 630.95 · lots 16price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 93 052.53 ₴listings: 54
on CS.Money: ~ 107 556.40 ₴
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 55 213.04 ₴The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 339.84 ₴listings 27 · you get 55 213.04 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 65 600.99 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 71 930.91 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 56 339.84 ₴listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 62 296.42 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 61 000.15 ₴listings: 35
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 58 674.31 ₴sell now to a buy order: 57 878.93 ₴
(you get 50 329.51 ₴)) · buy orders: 921
sell on Market.CSGO: 50 705.10 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 55 597.70 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 45 435.36 ₴listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 51 168.39 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 46 753.44 ₴listings: 41
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 34 709.65 ₴sell now to a buy order: 34 699.89 ₴
(you get 30 173.82 ₴)) · buy orders: 339
sell on Market.CSGO: 33 016.82 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 36 202.66 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 27 898.68 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 33 219.61 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 29 613.86 ₴listings: 26
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 28 373.97 ₴sell now to a buy order: 25 031.03 ₴
(you get 21 766.11 ₴)) · buy orders: 345
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 676.75 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 24 864.86 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 20 445.91 ₴listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 22 623.18 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 21 974.81 ₴listings: 35
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 24 336.27 ₴sell now to a buy order: 24 319.43 ₴
(you get 21 147.33 ₴)) · buy orders: 126
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 462.40 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 24 629.83 · lots 7CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 22 212.44 ₴listings: 20
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 19 138.44 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 16 344.13 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 17 921.19 · lots 18price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 14 665.17 ₴listings: 30
on CS.Money: ~ 14 728.78 ₴
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 7 903.28 ₴The Spectrum Collectionsells 4 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the current 9 088.77 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 9 795.02 ₴
(you get 8 517.40 ₴)) · buy orders: 247
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 753.57 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 10 694.71 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 10 068.48 ₴listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 9 946.25 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 9 344.23 ₴listings: 34
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 187.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 079.35 ₴
(you get 7 025.52 ₴)) · buy orders: 225
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 341.14 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 049.50 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 7 097.00 ₴listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 7 422.77 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 926.17 ₴listings: 59
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 373.01 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 302.64 ₴
(you get 4 610.99 ₴)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 044.62 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 531.39 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 5 185.99 ₴listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 4 079.19 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 772.99 ₴listings: 22
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 2 715.57 ₴The Spectrum Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 3 122.90 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 3 543.57 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 121.06 ₴
(you get 2 713.96 ₴)) · buy orders: 157
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 826.54 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 099.28 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 3 000.55 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 2 809.27 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 723.40 ₴listings: 59
BS costs more than WW: 4 702.02 ₴ versus 3 662.84 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 702.02 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 814.98 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 376.08 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 3 354.95 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 5 301.85 ₴listings: 6
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 181.13 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 206.82 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 902.21 · lots 25price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 6 951.61 ₴listings: 46
on CS.Money: ~ 14 777.85 ₴
month average 6 611.32 ₴, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 6 126.14 ₴
(you get 5 327.08 ₴)) · buy orders: 209
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 856.22 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 421.29 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 5 345.92 ₴listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 5 860.71 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 5 684.42 ₴listings: 44
month average 4 842.00 ₴, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 300.95 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 715.95 · lots 22
on CSFloat: from 4 504.46 ₴listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 4 326.81 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 211.40 ₴listings: 74
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 111.35 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 104.78 ₴
(you get 2 699.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 151Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 3 095.97 ₴listings: 29
month average 2 843.82 ₴, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 557.48 ₴
(you get 2 223.89 ₴)) · buy orders: 212
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 316.48 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 2 540.00 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 2 231.33 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 2 375.82 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 226.79 ₴listings: 24
BS costs more than FT: 3 207.00 ₴ versus 3 061.16 ₴ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 207.00 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 164.80 ₴
(you get 2 752.00 ₴)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 479.56 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 815.31 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 3 135.04 ₴listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 3 638.92 ₴listings: 3
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 095.77 ₴sell now to a buy order: 12 219.74 ₴
(you get 10 625.85 ₴)) · buy orders: 355
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 306.35 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 14 590.30 · lots 17price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 11 830.00 ₴listings: 52
on CS.Money: ~ 12 314.35 ₴
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 10 159.98 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 776.38 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 10 719.72 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 8 165.19 ₴listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 8 450.52 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 8 502.77 ₴listings: 17
month average 8 212.62 ₴, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 7 363.17 ₴
(you get 6 402.75 ₴)) · buy orders: 344
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 603.50 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 240.68 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 5 822.09 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 6 170.58 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 265.54 ₴listings: 21
FT costs more than MW: 4 955.05 ₴ versus 4 208.32 ₴ — calculated at the price of MWmonth average 4 955.05 ₴, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 231.94 ₴
(you get 3 679.95 ₴)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 083.73 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 477.78 · lots 10
on Lis-Skins: from 3 871.55 ₴listings: 28
BS costs more than WW: 3 306.73 ₴ versus 3 246.17 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWnow 3 306.73 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 3 315.56 ₴sell now to a buy order: 2 804.17 ₴
(you get 2 438.41 ₴)) · buy orders: 158
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 573.85 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 2 822.21 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 2 762.47 ₴listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 2 576.18 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 411.71 ₴listings: 25
BS costs more than WW: 4 896.82 ₴ versus 4 275.84 ₴ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 896.82 ₴no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 3 750.69 ₴listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 978.10 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 836.78 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 16 268.41 · lots 16price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 12 725.08 ₴listings: 55
on CS.Money: ~ 14 444.81 ₴
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 565.64 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 837.31 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 11 883.02 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 9 067.08 ₴listings: 17
on CS.Money: ~ 9 782.23 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 9 985.33 ₴listings: 35
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 420.48 ₴no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 152.63 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 842.80 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 7 269.66 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 7 536.82 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 142.44 ₴listings: 14
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 814.60 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 406.92 ₴
(you get 3 832.10 ₴)) · buy orders: 117
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 681.48 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 133.20 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 4 543.53 ₴listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 4 423.58 ₴listings: 23
month average 3 387.82 ₴, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 776.19 ₴
(you get 2 414.08 ₴)) · buy orders: 131
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 138.58 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 441.43 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 3 099.15 ₴listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 2 726.58 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 557.56 ₴listings: 34
month average 3 529.00 ₴, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 3 430.82 ₴
(you get 2 983.32 ₴)) · buy orders: 96
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 950.82 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 332.04 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.048 652.47 → 8 995.97 ₴
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.055 088.97 → 5 361.23 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−8 617.19 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−8 067.45 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
9 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409173
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −7 821.59₴
· invest 13 741.44₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.364651 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.364651 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3409184
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 821.59₴
· invest 13 741.44₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.364651 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.364651 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3409185
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 842.27₴
· invest 13 741.44₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3409083
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −7 844.88₴
· invest 13 764.73₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3409094
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 844.88₴
· invest 13 764.73₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3409084
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −7 865.56₴
· invest 13 764.73₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
Craft 3409095
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 865.56₴
· invest 13 764.73₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)
Craft 3409333
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −8 587.01₴
· invest 14 251.65₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.311741 instead of 0.380000
Craft 3409341
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −8 587.01₴
· invest 14 251.65₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.311741 instead of 0.380000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.